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Bitcoin is currently in a cautious game phase near the 750 key level, facing dual pressure from macro policies and geopolitics. The steady participation from institutions provides some support for the medium- to long-term trend.
On the technical side, the daily price is rising, but the RSI peak is gradually decreasing, forming a “triple bearish divergence” as a mid-term warning signal. The daily RSI is currently in a neutral range, and the MACD shows a death cross signal. The short-term rebound is a corrective move rather than a trend reversal. The sharp spike is driven by short-seller stop-loss liquidation and a squeeze to force out shorts—not fresh orders being scanned/accumulated by non-institutional players.
Trading suggestion: Enter/hold shorts lightly near 76500, defend at 77200, target 73700$BTC