Bitcoin looks like it's about to fail, can it still struggle a bit? Will it keep falling to 70k? Hurry and take a look.


1. As shown in the chart, two days ago we discussed the logic of Bitcoin's trend, with the top around 78k/79k in an ascending channel, and the final correction likely to reach the lower boundary of the channel at about 69,000/70k. So how should we operate now?
2. The most correct strategy is to short at the top around 78,000, which we've been talking about for two weeks. But if you didn't get in earlier, you can still short on rallies; significant rebounds are good entry points. Before dropping to 70k, Bitcoin will pass through two support levels: one at 75k and another at 73.5k.
3. These two levels are likely to see good rebounds. If it rebounds at 75k and approaches near 76,500, you can start scaling into short positions. I personally hope 75k holds, and if there's a rebound, we can add to our shorts. Because I mentioned yesterday that I took partial profits on some shorts at this level, hoping for a rebound to re-enter. Of course, if there's no rebound, I can accept it and earn more if it drops further.
4. Besides shorting on rallies, aggressive traders can also try a small long at support levels—around 75,000 is worth a try, just a small position with a stop-loss set. The safest position is definitely near 73.5k, but that depends on your risk preference.
5. Overall, the market is consistent with our expected trend, so trading shouldn't be difficult. Short at 78,000, then take partial profits at support levels of 75,000, 73,500, and around 70k. If there's a strong rebound at support, re-short; if not, just take profits on other shorts. The logic is clear step by step—don't trade based on feelings. Before opening a position, plan your take-profit and stop-loss strategies. Let's work hard together!
BTC-1.06%
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ExitLiquidityCupid
· 3h ago
7.8 That wave didn't keep up, which is a bit of a pity.
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SeaSaltFlavoredStablecoin
· 8h ago
7.5/7.35 these two supports are indeed prone to a rebound, but I’d rather wait for the rebound before shorting; I’m not too confident about going long against the trend for a quick trade.
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VineGeometry
· 8h ago
I'm only concerned with one thing: where to set the stop-loss? Otherwise, getting pierced and blown up by a single spike is too common.
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GateUser-5d719aba
· 8h ago
I’m worried that now there might be a false breakdown, breaking below 70k and then bouncing back up, wiping out all the short positions.
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On-ChainSoilAfterTheRain
· 8h ago
The details around the 7.65 level for phased positioning are pretty good; at least it's not a impulsive call.
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MoonlightLiquidationLine
· 8h ago
If it really reaches 70k, I will start gradually accumulating spot assets, and I will no longer participate in contracts.
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GateUser-e84f640c
· 8h ago
7.35 I'm also watching closely. If the volume can't keep up there, the rebound might only be brief. Don't get stuck in the fight.
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BreadthHunter
· 9h ago
Your logic is clear and well-structured, but the problem is that the market doesn't always follow logic. I suggest everyone avoid going all-in with their entire position.
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AutumnSlopeCabin
· 9h ago
Saying BTC "is no good" is a bit of an exaggeration; it's just volatile, and long-term players actually prefer this kind of pullback.
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TidalShell
· 9h ago
Looking at the lower channel boundary around 69,000 to 70k is a pretty smooth approach; the key is still executing stop-loss.
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