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TOMORROW: A $127B LIQUIDITY TSUNAMI
Walmart gets billions. You get the inflation. The US Treasury gets the debt. Welcome to the Great Redistribution.
Tomorrow, the US Customs and Border Protection officially activates the CAPE System. This portal is the green light for the largest corporate windfall in years, following the Supreme Court’s February 20 ruling that invalidated Trump’s IEEPA tariffs in a landmark 6-3 decision.
You, the consumer, have already paid the price.
Over the past year, American households were hit with an average cost increase of $1,000 to $1,745 on everyday goods.
Not a cent of this refund is going back you.
The cash is flowing exclusively to the 'Importers of Record', primarily giants like Walmart, Apple, Amazon, and Costco.
The CAPE system was built under extreme pressure from the Court of International Trade to handle a massive backlog of claims.
More than 56,000 companies have already registered for the portal. Phase 1 alone targets $127 billion in refunds, covering roughly 82% of eligible unliquidated entries. Analysts expect the final total to reach $166 billion as more complex claims are processed in later phases.
While the S&P 500 treats this as a bullish catalyst for stock buybacks, the US Treasury is facing a mathematical nightmare. The US National Debt has surged to $39 trillion, with now $1 trillion interest payment.
Every dollar refunded through CAPE must be borrowed. The US is now spending more on debt interest than on its entire national defence budget.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has confirmed that major retailers have no plans to lower prices following the refunds. The tariff surcharge has effectively become a permanent margin expansion for retail.
This is not an economic recovery; it is a K-shaped extraction. The government borrows at record rates to hand billions to corporations, while the consumer price floor remains locked at all-time highs.
I may be early but I am avoiding becoming exit liquidity for a corporate tax rebate. Staying liquid.