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#山寨币强势反弹 Recently, I was shocked by a few "demon coins" (like RAVE) 😲😲😲
Demon coins, what makes them demonic? No causal chain; they have already detached from the normal market pricing logic.
When a coin re-enters your view, it usually has gone through two things:
First: The low-level chips have already been concentrated (otherwise it can't be pushed up)
Second: The price has been pushed to an attention-grabbing range (otherwise you wouldn't see it)
The vast majority of people get in when the role has already been set. Many don't even know who needs this rise to happen, nor can they tell if it's a trend or just distribution.
There is a very simple market feature to verify:
1⃣ During the rise, trading volume continues to increase, but the price slope is slowing down;
2⃣ Repeated "push high → pause → push high again," but the same increase requires increasingly larger trading volume;
3⃣ Easy to spike, but there is no natural connection between multiple rising segments.
Only ① and ②, no ③, indicates early distribution stage;
All three appear, it’s basically entering the late stage of selling, with the highest risk.
Only ③, no ① and ②, might just be small-cap control + sentiment coin, not necessarily in distribution, but lacking trend properties.
Of course, it's best to choose not to play—games with information and cost asymmetry are too risky. Relying on a little on-the-spot reaction to become the exception and escape is too difficult!
To dance with the sickle, you must first be prepared to be cut by the sickle.
If you don't dance with the sickle, stay away, and you'll never be reaped!