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Article from Heart to Heart Take it from me for free
Do you know what the best-selling headlines in newspapers are?
They are the headlines that evoke fear and anxiety!
Algorithms say that fear is the most sellable thing in financial markets.
And the bigger the geopolitical crisis, the more intense the fear, the faster the sell-off, and the deeper the regret.
Therefore, only those with a clear plan
and discipline in execution are safe from this.
Since the Korean War until today, the S&P 500 index has experienced nine major geopolitical crises
wars, collapses, terrorist attacks, and pandemics.
The result after one year of each crisis?
Average return +14.2%!
Korean War: +11.2%
Cuban Missile Crisis: +27.8%
Gulf War: +10.2%
Invasion of Iraq: +26.7%
COVID-19: +43.7%
The only exception was the September 11 attacks with a return of -16.8%
which was the only one that directly hit the heart of the American economy.
Today, the index is just 1% below its all-time high,
after many investors paid the price for decisions made with a tense mind.
Iranian tension has turned a wide segment of investors into the bear camp,
and history has been clear as the sun:
Markets do not die from geopolitical crises,
they only decline, then recover.
The problem is that when humans feel fear, they do not read history.
They read headlines.
And headlines sell disaster.
And disaster sells wrong decisions.
The difference between an investor who loses and one who profits in such moments is not intelligence,
but discipline.
The ability to sit, wait, and trust that the market knows its way upward
even when it hits walls.
The clear message:
Time in the market is more powerful than timing the market.
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