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Geopolitical Black Swan Incoming, BTC and Gold Rally Together
The Strait of Hormuz blockade enters its third day, and global markets are experiencing an "earthquake"!
💥 Event recap: On April 13th, the U.S. "blockade order" officially took effect—over 15 U.S. warships deployed, more than 10k U.S. military personnel stationed. Iran is retaliating, with several oil tankers blocked from passage.
Key data: The Strait of Hormuz accounts for 20-25% of global oil transportation; a 48-hour blockade has caused Brent crude oil to rise by +3.7%, boosting safe-haven demand, with gold prices ( supported in the 4760–4800 range ).
BTC briefly hit $75,230, as geopolitical risks fueled safe-haven narratives.
Crypto market impact analysis:
#BTC $74,718 fluctuated as safe-haven funds flowed in, but was dragged down by U.S. stocks
#ETH $2,331 remained relatively strong, reinforcing blockchain narratives
#XAU In the 4760–4800 range, traditional safe-haven assets are favored.
Fear index from 23 to 18, indicating rising panic sentiment.
My judgment: The Hormuz blockade is a typical "supply-side shock"—without resolving Iran issues, oil prices will keep rising.
But such geopolitical events are often "pulse-like" moves, with high risk of chasing the rally.
How do you view this geopolitical situation? Are safe-haven assets worth chasing? Share your strategies in the comments.