Before and after the 4-hour switch, pay attention to the following 3 points!

Currently in the 4H K-line switch window (around 10:56 Beijing time, corresponding to about 02:56 UTC), this is an important liquidity switching point during the day.
Market makers prefer to create false breakouts/induce stop-losses at this node because the 4H level trading volume switches (from the Asian session end to the European session start), which easily results in “probing + quick reversal.”
Combined with the 4H chart (MA7: 2347 / MA30: 2257, price at 2323 in the moving average congestion zone), the 15-minute oversold condition (KD J6.36), and the daily upward channel structure, this is not a trend reversal but a high-level shakeout buildup.

1. Most important focus: the closing price of the new 4H K-line relative to key levels
• Bullish signal: The new 4H K-line closes above 2326-2335 (middle band of 15min BOLL + short-term 4H resistance), with volume (trading volume > 1.5 times the previous K-line), confirming short-term support is effective, and MM is likely to push upward to test 2350-2370 (BOLL upper band / 4H high point).
• Bearish signal: The close falls below 2309-2315 (lower band of 15min BOLL + 4H low point line), especially with a volume-driven bearish candle, indicating a breakdown of structure, with a quick downward target of 2280-2260 (near the 1D MA30).
• Neutral oscillation: The close remains within 2315-2326 with narrow fluctuations, no volume sideways trading → MM continues to harvest both sides, short-term no clear direction.

2. Volume and K-line body confirmation
• Observe the length of the new 4H K-line body + shadow:
- Long lower shadow + small body (hammer) = signal of accumulation at low levels;
- Long upper shadow + small body = failed trap to induce buying.
• Volume must significantly increase to confirm direction (current 4H volume has rebounded from low levels, but new K-line confirmation is still needed).
- No-volume rebound is likely a false breakout.

3. 4H level indicator golden/death cross
• KD(: 9,3,3@:
- Current K: 64.16 / D: 68.29 / J: 55.89 (neutral leaning high),
- If J crosses above D (golden cross) → high probability of short-term rebound;
- If it continues downward (death cross) → bearish strength increases.
• MACD): 12,26,9@:
- DIF: 36.47 / DEA: 31.42 (still positive but with narrowing bars),
- If the new K-line’s DIF crosses above DEA or the bars turn red → bullish momentum strengthens.
• RSI: Neutral on the 4H, combined with the oversold condition on 15min, after switching lines, a “divergence rebound” may occur.