My current conclusion is pretty soft: not holding spot, and always wanting to swing trade contracts. The problem is mostly not that you see the wrong direction, but that your positions are too full and you're too impatient. To put it simply, as long as you're still thinking about "breaking even in one shot / doubling in one shot," it's hard to stay steady.

My rule for myself is just one straightforward phrase: cut off the part that will keep you awake at night. For spot, divide it into several parts and buy gradually; don’t rush to chase when it rises, and don’t immediately top up when it falls. For contracts, it’s even simpler—if your position is so small it’s overwhelming, it doesn’t affect your life, then set a stop-loss and don’t gamble with yourself. Recently, cross-chain bridges have had issues again, and oracles are showing abnormal quotes. Everyone is waiting for confirmation, and I’m the same—better to miss out on a bit, because earning slow money still lets you sleep well.