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There are still people shouting #BTC bull run, breaking 80k, filling the 81K and 84K CME gaps, 90k, let me briefly analyze:
1/ Contract trading is 10 times the spot, and prices are dominated by contracts
2/ Comparison of liquidation strength with unit price movement
Up 1000, liquidation of 180 million
Down 1000, liquidation of 380 million
Up 2000, liquidation of 190 million
Down 2000, liquidation of 730 million
3/ Macro, combined with this month's dollar liquidity tightening, and the uncertainty of war
4/ Price, having experienced daily overbought conditions, now at the upper end of the consolidation range
5/ Indicators, RSI daily overbought, weekly golden cross below water, MACD to see for yourself, Guppy fast line downward, VWAP cost suppression
6/ Capital, holdings/rate/ premium, etc., ETF inverse
.......
As a main force, which side would you choose? Which side has the least resistance? Which side is more lucrative?
This probability question is not hard to calculate, which side has a positive EV?