We've talked for 21 hours, all nonsense! The US-Iran show, all the world's oil tankers are just spectators.

Do you think it's the dawn of peace?
Don't be silly.
Hormuz is still locked.
Just now, US Vice President Vance personally admitted: after 21 hours of talks with Iran, no agreement was reached. Iran chose "not to accept the US conditions."
In plain language— the conditions the US is offering, Iran doesn't even want to glance at them twice.
A strait where not a single oil tanker dares to move.
Let me give you a picture—
The Strait of Hormuz, where one-third of global maritime oil shipments pass through.
Now, Iran says, lock it up.
A US Navy destroyer tried to go in a couple of days ago to do "mine clearance," but Iran issued a warning, and the US ship turned around immediately.
You saw it right.
It turned around.
The world's number one navy, in a narrow strait, was warned and then... chose to retreat.
This isn't a movie. This happened before April 12, 2026.
You think it's close to an agreement? It's all an illusion.
And the more surreal part is coming.
An Italian "Corriere della Sera" reporter sent a report at 1:57 AM saying: the US and Iran delegations have been in the same room for nearly 10 hours. Regional security, humanitarian reconstruction, asset thawing—three major frameworks are "basically confirmed."
Sounds promising?
Hold on.
Foreign media also said "only Hormuz control remains unresolved."
Just that one word "only" makes all shipping company bosses worldwide feel cold sweat down their backs.
Because everyone knows: whoever controls Hormuz, holds the global economy by the throat.
Iran's attitude is very clear: until the framework is reached, the strait remains locked.
And the US, while negotiating, is also doing mine clearance in the strait. Guess what Iran thinks?
"You're shaking hands with me while secretly clearing the mines I buried? Do you think I’ll believe you?"
No matter how well the negotiations go at the table, if no ships dare to sail through the strait, it's all nonsense.
The US claims "Iranian forces have been completely destroyed"—then why are US ships still turning around?
Things that can't be settled in 21 hours of talks will also be unresolved in the 22nd hour.
Hormuz isn't just a strait; it's Iran's last unplayed ACE.
The ceasefire window is closing.
Three rounds of negotiations, overnight, four more rounds on Sunday.
Sounds like a lot of effort?
But look at the essence—
Iran says this is the "last chance."
The US says "Iran won't accept the conditions."
Put together, these two statements form a deadlock.
Iran wants: asset thawing, uranium enrichment rights, control over the strait.
The US offers: open the strait first, then talk about other issues.
This is the classic deadlock of which came first, the chicken or the egg.
The problem is, eggs can be delayed, but all the world's oil tankers can't wait.
- If you're in shipping: every day your ship is stopped, you're burning real gold and silver.
- If you're trading crude oil: prices could skyrocket or plummet in the next second, your heart can't take it.
- If you're just an ordinary onlooker: when oil prices rise, prices go up, and every curse you utter at the pump traces back to this strait.
So don't think this has nothing to do with you.
Lock Hormuz for a day, and your wallet shrinks a bit.
Don't believe the nonsense that "the framework is set."
Foreign media say "the three major frameworks are set."
I ask you: what good is a framework if it's set?
A renovation contract is signed, and the color of the last wall can be argued over for three months.
Especially with Iran and the US.
Two countries that have hated each other for decades, and you tell me "only one last issue remains"?
The last issue is often the only issue.
Iran's stance this time was tougher than many expected.
Honestly, many thought Iran would be crushed.
But what happened?
US ships turned back. No concessions at the negotiation table. The strait remains locked.
Trump said "28 minesweepers have sunk to the bottom of the sea"—then why not let one oil tanker pass safely?
Iran's attitude is simple: if you don't give me what I want, don't expect to get what you want.
This kind of negotiation style—"if I don't have a good time, neither do you"—is ruthless.
But is it effective?
At least for now, the US still wants to negotiate.
The fourth round of talks will continue, no confirmed time yet, but I advise you not to hold out hope.
When both sides think they can still endure, there will be no resolution.
Iran thinks: I lock the strait, you can't do anything to me.
The US thinks: I keep delaying, your economy will collapse before mine.
Who’s right?
Who’s wrong?
It doesn't matter.
What matters is, until not a single oil tanker dares to move in Hormuz, all negotiations are just a show.
1. Who do you think will be the first to give in, the US or Iran?
2. How much will oil prices break this week? Guess a number, and we'll check later.
3. If the strait remains locked for another month, what's the first thing that comes to your mind? #美伊停火协议谈判再生变故 #Gate广场四月发帖挑战 $BTC $ETH