[Red Envelope] (324) Intraday precise reminders for entry points, late-day rally, what's next tomorrow?

Question

This market has never lacked opportunities; what’s missing is the calm patience and clear self-awareness to wait. Look inward, and you can anchor your direction amid fluctuations. Wait for the wind, follow the trend, and compound interest will create miracles. [Taogu Ba]

The core of trading is not frequent transactions but maintaining a steady mind, not easily influenced by market volatility. Trade your plan, plan your trades, and multiply your position size based on your win rate and odds, perfecting your trading system.

Slow down, move forward steadily—that’s speed; after all, flowing water doesn’t compete to be first, but it flows endlessly.

If you don’t understand market styles, rotation styles, or how markets break through rotation, read this post: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2pdpk2DjD1z. If you don’t understand short-term chip structures and their impact on trading, see this post: https://www.tgb.cn/a/2pxwWkXjp7b. The live broadcast everyone is thinking about, explaining buy divergence turning into consensus, sell consensus turning into divergence, what expectations,超预期, and expectation gaps are, has been recorded: https://shuo.tgb.cn/shuo/toViewShuo?shuoID=2028284274696695885#type=zblb. This segment of replay explains chip game, capital intentions, node consensus: https://shuo.tgb.cn/shuo/toViewShuo?shuoID=2030820990770917408#type=zblb.

Replay of the live broadcast, interpreting stock trading teacher’s insights on buy opportunities and sell risks.

https://shuo.tgb.cn/shuo/toViewShuo?shuoID=2034080083988099135#type=grbk

Listen to the recording—you won’t regret it, because you will definitely gain something.

Like first, then watch—always profit steadily! Like while watching, keep your thoughts clear—thanks!

Market Trend

Market closed with a small-volume pullback and a rebound to close in the red. Some friends asked during the session if such low volume poses risks; market rises and falls depend on volume, but also on the volume-price relationship. Rising volume and price together are good, but within this relationship, there’s also the process of continuous selling down to a red close on low volume, meaning the funds holding positions are resting, thinking this is the bottom. They don’t sell, so selling pressure is small, and buying on low volume can lift the market from green to red. Take this point in—hope it’s helpful, give a like if you find it useful! Tips and support depend on your specific situation.

Yesterday’s late session gave everyone an early position, thinking the market was at the bottom. Today’s opening was slightly disappointing—lacking the pre-judged upward push, it opened with a sharp decline. In my pre-market thoughts, I mentioned some directions might gap up or drop after a gap up, or even open high then crash. Unexpectedly, after the market gapped high, almost everything dropped directly…

One reason is that the Japanese and Korean markets opened 30 minutes earlier; by 9:25, they had already fallen from a 5-point gap to about 2 points. Our smart funds are imitating, doing a big sell-off.

At 9:44, I issued the first reminder: friends who haven’t sold, don’t sell now, and consider building a bottom position.

Then I added another message about how to establish a bottom position in a trend, explaining that during bullish-bearish battles, there will be 2-3 retests, and the morning retest was almost textbook.

This also comes from my intraday comments. Since there are many images and some friends find it tiring to view, I’ll summarize in text:

“During bullish-bearish battles, at phase bottoms, the market often sees buyers step in during declines, with 3 retests. The third retest should be complete. First at 944 points, then rally to 952, then a second retest until 10:01, holding until 1007, and a third retest at 1018. Afterwards, it turns upward, and the bottom must be higher than the previous bottom.
This applies to key points in individual stocks’ bullish-bearish battles as well.”

Then the market started to rise, with the Shanghai Composite sideways at 1, Shenzhen at 0, and a slight pullback in the afternoon. The low didn’t break previous lows, and after sideways movement, it moved up around 2 PM. I began to prepare information for everyone: if you didn’t build a position in the morning, consider what to buy today—building positions now.

I usually post at 2:57 PM, but when I saw at 2:09 PM that the market might rebound at the close, I thought it was necessary to build positions immediately. The index did indeed rise directly. At 2:09, Shenzhen was still red; by 2:24, it was up 1.2 points. Seeing friends add tech stocks after my reminder made me feel quite good.

In fact, those who started building positions against the trend after my morning alert, capturing intra-day gains comfortably. Even if you didn’t build, as long as you didn’t cut losses, ending the day in the red or with minimal loss, share your experience in the comments—this boosts my confidence and creates a positive cycle. When I discuss future market trends, it’s often stressful, but if you can share how my alerts helped you earn more or lose less, I can better maintain this positive cycle and be more motivated to share. When market conditions are poor, I can’t always share specific stocks or directions, but I can help you grasp the overall index rhythm.

Back to the market, the morning’s high-volume opening was expected, slightly high, partly due to Japan and Korea’s markets opening early. The ChiNext led the decline, as it had hit recent highs, and the Shenzhen and Shanghai indices had been sharply falling for days. As a strong sector, ChiNext needs some correction.

Early in the day, power and photovoltaic stocks opened with a single bid, especially photovoltaic, but led by Suntech Power and others, they declined sharply. Yesterday’s second-tier stocks like Chint Power didn’t show premium, so the strength was limited.

Overall, the market’s opening was hard to judge—mostly small red, low volume. The core electric power stocks like Huadian LiaoNeng opened slightly below expectations but then oscillated upward as the index declined, with Huadian LiaoNeng hitting the limit-up during the second decline at 10:01. Power sector was the strongest today, also the most persistent since Henan Energy & Chemical. Whether it’s the previous energy cooperation or subsequent photovoltaic and energy storage, the core remains power. It’s unaffected by US-Iran tensions; observe the power sector’s trend—still quite resilient. After a major rally, it’s consolidating at high levels, and today’s volume increase suggests further upward movement toward previous highs.

At market open, Huadian LiaoNeng led the attack, while cables like Han Cable and Tongguang Cables moved early, driven by Xineng Taishan’s single bid. Later, Beijing Kereui surged due to winning bids, reinforcing the power theme. The stocks that led with single bids earlier, like Zhongnan Culture, quickly hit the limit-up, rebounding after three days of consolidation.

Within the day, Jinkai New Energy also rebounded, Zhejiang Xineng recovered after oscillation, approaching previous highs. Henan Energy & Chemical moved upward, nearing previous highs.

After Huadian LiaoNeng’s breakout, Huadian Energy, which had been oscillating due to fears of volatility yesterday, declined early but then steadily rose, approaching yesterday’s high. If Huadian LiaoNeng continues to perform well tomorrow, Huadian Energy will also trend upward.

Overall, the power sector is in a peak state today, up 5.37%. Tomorrow, a normal expectation is for some differentiation—stronger stocks to get even stronger, which would be beyond expectations.

The computing power sector also performed well. After a decline in the morning, it was the first to rebound to intra-day highs, with strong momentum. Stocks like Demingli, F晶科技, Jiangbolong, Dazhu CNC, and others contributed significantly to the index. The market’s early movement was ahead of the overall trend, with storage stocks like Cintang Huaneng, which had corrected for three days, starting to rise again. Some small-cap stocks like Zhen Shitong, Lianhua Holdings, should be watched. The timing of Jinkai New Energy’s rise overlaps more with the power sector, and it’s a highly recognizable power stock. Tomorrow, if these stocks are to perform, Meli Yun, Jinkai New Energy, and Hongjing Technology need to take the initiative.

Photovoltaic stocks, based on recent sector indices, briefly led today, then fell back to fifth place, roughly equal with fourth. Considering the first is power, second is computing power, third is grid-connected, and fourth is lithium, the actual ranking of photovoltaic stocks is quite recognizable intra-day.

First, Zhongli Group continued with a single bid, hitting three consecutive limit-ups with reduced volume and the largest single order. Next, Tuori New Energy and Space Photovoltaic showed weakness, affected by the decline of leading stocks like Sungrow, which seemed like a passive correction after a sharp rise. Today’s impact has been alleviated; if not actively rebounding tomorrow, it could be problematic.

Chint Power, Maiwei Shares, and Junda Shares also need to show strength. The photovoltaic segment still depends on detailed subdivisions—some are driven by European energy storage and new energy logic, related to US-Iran energy battles. From the perspective of consecutive limit-ups, Huadian LiaoNeng has 7 limit-ups, with 6 and 7-day consecutive volume reductions. If tomorrow Huadian LiaoNeng attracts fewer buyers and surges in volume, it might not hold the limit-up. Currently, Zhongli Group’s 3-limit-up position could give photovoltaic stocks a boost.

Today’s first power sector limit-up was partly due to expectations of a rebound in Huadian LiaoNeng tomorrow.

Lithium batteries surged today; we’ll see how CATL performs tomorrow.

Big tech stocks also declined in the morning due to the ChiNext correction, then rebounded from 2:10 PM, with stocks like Demingli, F晶科技, Jiangbolong, Dazhu CNC, and others contributing significantly. The top contributors include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xin Yisheng, Tianfu, Hudian, Dongshan, and more. The market’s early movement was ahead of the overall trend, with storage stocks like Cintang Huaneng, which had corrected for three days, starting to rise again. Some small-cap stocks like Zhen Shitong, Lianhua Holdings, should be watched. The timing of Jinkai New Energy’s rise overlaps more with the power sector, and it’s a highly recognizable power stock. Tomorrow, if these stocks are to perform, Meli Yun, Jinkai New Energy, and Hongjing Technology need to take the initiative.

The practical takeaway is that during the intraday decline after my reminder, those who built positions in pieces likely secured better gains. Even if you didn’t build, as long as you didn’t cut losses, ending the day with a red or minimal loss is good. Share your experiences in the comments—this boosts my confidence and creates a positive feedback loop. When I discuss future market trends, it’s often stressful, but if you can share how my alerts helped you earn more or lose less, I can better maintain this cycle and be more motivated to share. When market conditions are tough, I can’t always share specific stocks or directions, but I can help you grasp the overall index rhythm.