Beyond expectations! The base effect combined with the positive trend of A-shares, with January M2 up 9% year-on-year

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On February 13, the central bank released January’s financial data. As of the end of January 2026, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 347.19 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, 0.5 percentage points higher than the previous month, and 2.0 percentage points higher than the same period last year. Market authorities stated that M2 growth in January was higher than the previous month. On one hand, there is a certain base effect, as M2 increased by about 5 trillion yuan in January 2025, and in recent years, the base has generally been relatively low. On the other hand, it is also related to the positive trend of the capital market at the beginning of the year. As the base effect gradually diminishes, M2 will stabilize further. (First Financial)

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