In just two days, the sector went from hitting the daily limit to hitting the lower limit, experiencing huge ups and downs—it's also a part of witnessing history...

Today, 4,302 stocks rose. Despite so many stocks gaining, why is the market still so difficult to trade? Yesterday morning, oil was very strong during pre-market trading, with the sector opening up over 10%. The sector’s gain dropped from 10% to 2.3% during the day, a pullback of over 7 percentage points. Today, the sector opened directly down 10% (I’m talking about the sector, not individual stocks). Why is this happening? Because during trading, news broke: G7 countries plan to jointly release oil reserves, expecting to release 300-400 million barrels. This successfully caused oil prices to plunge back below $100. Events like this, where news impacts the market intraday, often occur in the A-share market. The last time was January 14. As traders in the market, we are heavily influenced by the relative strength of positive and negative news, so at this time, the importance of position management becomes evident. [Taogu Ba]

Currently, the market remains volatile. This week has been less predictable than the previous two because rotation has become faster. The phosphates sector lasted two days in the previous week, oil lasted three days last week, but this week, oil hasn’t even maintained a single morning. Yesterday, the strong stocks in the sector didn’t continue today. In the early trading, I analyzed that the optical fiber sector had a recovery expectation, and today it hit the daily limit, making the communication sector the strongest today.

Market Analysis:
1. Overall Trend:
On Tuesday, 4,302 stocks rose, 790 fell, 55 hit the daily limit up, 4 hit the daily limit down, with a significant pullback of two points. The overall strength is 64, and the direction is: oscillation. Based on the above market data and combined with Zhuque Road’s expectation system, the market is still in a consolidation phase, with rapid rotation. Tomorrow is expected to have divergent views.

2. Minor Trend:
The market has twice found support around 4050. Logically, it shouldn’t retest 4050 again soon, and support is expected around 4080. If in the coming days it drops back to 4050 again, that level is likely to break. Currently, there are no good supporting signals. Although today the communication sector was very strong internally, there is no evidence of sustained momentum.

3. Sentiment:
Today, the short position in Longji Intercontinental Petroleum provided liquidity, so there’s no need to worry about continued pressure tomorrow. Expectation of shallow water zones or near zero axis is likely, so current sentiment is relatively safe, with no panic.

Hot Sector Analysis:
Communication: Today, the communication sector was the strongest in the market, but internal stocks were not focused; gains were dispersed. Since yesterday, it was predictable that the sector would rotate in, so I shared Changfei Fiber before the market opened. If tomorrow Riscongda can strengthen with a single move over 3.8 billion, optical modules or optical chips may have further upside. If it weakens, the sector may diverge.

Computing Power Liquid Cooling: Doming Optics is expected to open strongly. If it opens with a single strong move, the sector may continue to rise. If not, avoid.

Communication Optical Modules: Riscongda is expected to strengthen with a single move.

Robotics: From March 12-15, Tesla will participate in AWE2026 in Shanghai, showcasing its humanoid robot Optimus, so robotics moved today.

Summary:
The market is moving rapidly, making trading increasingly difficult. Avoid jumping into continuation plays on themes too easily. Currently, only six stocks hit the daily limit, three of which are one-word limits. We should continue waiting for new stories and hot spots to emerge.

• Summarize the actual daily trend versus pre-market expectations, analyze the reasons (has the trend changed? Are hot spots fading? Did we misjudge the rhythm?)
• Incorporate new insights into the system, constantly refine judgment of trend, hot spots, and rhythm.

The expectation system is not a rigid formula but a way of thinking. It elevates trading from “guessing rise or fall” to “managing expectations.”
Trend expectations help you follow the trend. Hot spot expectations keep you focused on the main line without straying from the battlefield. Rhythm expectations guide you to buy on divergences and sell on consensus, capturing the most advantageous timing. When you can skillfully apply trend, hot spots, and rhythm, forming, verifying, and utilizing expectation differences, you truly step beyond the limitations of technical indicators, begin to understand the underlying logic of market operation, and trading becomes a science based on probability and odds.

Zhuque Road Practical Tips:

Zhuque Road Teaching Guide on Liquidity Levels, Ecosystem Cycles, and Theme Cycles and How to Judge Them

https://www.tgb.cn/a/2oEJHUdptP1

Zhuque Road Teaching Guide on Market Depth · Large Order Prism

https://www.tgb.cn/a/2oKjAbBivYL

Zhuque Road Teaching Guide on Three Dimensions of Game Theme Logic

https://www.tgb.cn/a/2pMdmkvuiOG

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