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On Monday, Circle (CRCL) stock surged 10%, continuing the recent rally amid tensions in the Middle East. Mizuho Securities analysts believe that part of the stock price increase is due to rising oil prices, which could trigger inflation again and reduce market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates—an environment considered favorable for stablecoin issuers like Circle. The sharp rise in stock price also reflects a short squeeze, as hedge funds held large short positions before Circle released its strong Q4 earnings report.