Casual Chat

It’s been a long time since I last came online to chat with my brothers, and I really miss it. I’ve mostly finished handling family matters, and we will be able to fight together again very soon.

During this period, I haven’t been trading, but every late night I open the market to review the day’s行情 and think about how I would have responded if I had been trading. For example, a few days ago with Yunnan Energy, oil and gas, Han Cable, and today with Shun Sodium, all provided good entry points.

Today I feel inspired to share my thoughts on the current market situation. Black hatters, please stay away.

Once upon a time, we were waiting for that familiar emotional cycle, waiting for the leader to break and then catch up, waiting for the pattern rotation, waiting for her to fall in love with me again…

Now, it seems we can’t wait anymore. She has long since become someone else’s wife, elusive and out of reach. Looking back at the recent market: the highest limit was Silver at 8 boards, then Yunnan Energy at 7 boards, with four one-word limit-ups with no volume, showing average limit heights. As for theme cycles: AI for 4 days, chemicals for 3 days, oil and gas for 3 days, LED panels for 1 day. Previously, a theme could run for a month, with the leader first reaching high, then continuously exploring and补涨细分, and after a tide of adjustment, moving into a second and third wave. Now, three days is considered long, five days is beyond expectations, and a single day ending is not surprising. For example, this time with LED panels, I won’t list them all. Basically, as soon as you understand it, it’s over; just when you get in, it retreats; just when you cut losses, it rises again.

Unlike before, where a few big players identified the direction, ignited the market, and retail investors followed, forming a collective force. Emotions have cycles, cycles have规律, and relay teams have梯队. Now, we face a group of constantly升级的 robots. When you talk about格局, they talk about概率; when you talk about信仰 in the leader, they talk about回撤.

When a new theme emerges, what will it do? First, spread out immediately; second, rally and then crash the next day; third, end and start a new theme. So you’ll notice: themes are getting shorter, rotations faster, and heights lower. Some top traders hold空仓 for a whole month.

This market is always changing. What remains constant is that some people can survive and stand tall on the mountain peak. Since we can’t change the market, let’s try to change ourselves. So, how should we play the current market? Stay tuned for the next episode.

Alright, back to the main point: I miss you all so much. Brothers, do you miss me?