Currently, the crypto market is closely tied to the US stock market, especially the tech stocks, with both generally moving in the same direction—rising and falling together. The core reason is that the crypto market has become a risk asset, and institutional funds are simultaneously allocating to both asset classes. Once there is any turbulence in the US stock market, the crypto market will be affected accordingly.

The impact of the US stock market on the crypto market in the evening mainly depends on the US stock market’s own trend and market sentiment:
📉 Short entry points (preferably when US stocks are weak / Nasdaq is falling)

BTC

• Aggressive short: 68,500 Light position for shorting, stop loss at 69,000, targets 67,500→67,000→66,500

• Conservative short: 69,500–70,500 Encounter resistance for shorting, stop loss at 71,000, targets 68,500→67,500→66,500→64,500

• Breakout short: Break below 67,000 for chasing shorts, stop loss at 67,500, targets 66,500→66,000→64,500

ETH

• Aggressive short: 2,020–2,050 Light position for shorting, stop loss at 2,080, targets 1,980→1,950→1,900

• Conservative short: 2,080–2,120 Encounter resistance for shorting, stop loss at 2,150, targets 2,050→2,000→1,950→1,880

• Breakout short: Break below 1,950 for chasing shorts, stop loss at 1,980, targets 1,900→1,880→1,850

📈 Long entry points (preferably when US stocks are strong / Nasdaq is rising)

BTC

• Aggressive long: 66,500 Light position for long, stop loss at 66,000, targets 67,000→67,500→68,500

• Conservative long: 64,500–65,000 Stabilize long, stop loss at 64,000, targets 66,000→67,000→68,500

• Breakout long: Hold steady above 68,500 for chasing longs, stop loss at 68,000, targets 69,500→70,500

ETH

• Aggressive long: 1,880–1,900 Light position for long, stop loss at 1,850, targets 1,950→2,000→2,050

• Conservative long: Stabilize at 1,850, stop loss at 1,820, targets 1,900→1,950→2,000→2,050

• Breakout long: Hold steady above 2,050 for chasing longs, stop loss at 2,020, targets 2,080→2,120→2,150

🧭 Key threshold for US stock market linkage (opening at 21:30 tonight)

• S&P 500 >5,300 / Nasdaq >22,600 → Crypto market tends to be bullish, prioritize breakout longs

• S&P 500 <5,200 / Nasdaq <22,200 → Crypto market tends to be bearish, prioritize rebound shorts

• Sideways fluctuation → Crypto likely to range between 66,500–69,500 (BTC) and 1,900–2,050 (ETH)

💡 Risk control reminders

• Position size: No more than 20% in one direction, enter in batches

• Stop loss: Must be set; do not hold through losses or add to positions to average down

• After US stock market opens, observe capital flow within 15–30 minutes before deciding whether to enter

#比特币重回跌势