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[Iran Crisis] Gold prices fall more than 2% to test the $5,000 level; oil prices surge, intensifying inflation concerns
Gold and silver prices decline. The ongoing conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran shows no signs of ending. Major oil-producing countries cut production, causing oil prices to surge above $100 per barrel. Due to a strengthening dollar and inflation risks, gold prices fell, dropping 2.4% to $5,050, while silver declined 3.4% to $81.67.
The surge in oil prices heightens concerns about inflation in the US and increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged or even raise them for a longer period. Higher borrowing costs and a stronger dollar are generally unfavorable for precious metals.
Marex metals analyst Ed Meir stated in a report that if the conflict ends relatively quickly, the dollar could weaken, and gold prices would rise. If the war drags on, market expectations of rising inflation will push up the dollar and US Treasury yields, reducing the likelihood of rate cuts. He noted, “There are opportunities to buy, sell, or hold,” but currently, the latter is the more advisable course of action.
Although gold prices have experienced volatile swings and the upward momentum has slowed, they have still increased nearly 20% this year.
Financial Hot Talk
Middle East conflict threatens oil supply. Will oil prices break $100? Could this impact the global economy?