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📊 SOL/USDT Daily K Analysis - 【Weak Rebound, Continuing Bearishness】
1. Trend Structure and Moving Average Patterns
The price has been declining unilaterally from the previous high of 205.25 USDT, finding support at 116.78 USDT and entering a correction phase. Currently, the price has dipped to the 127.01 USDT level. The short-term MA5 and MA10 are showing a death cross pattern, with the price breaking below short-term moving averages, indicating that short-term bearish momentum is temporarily dominant; medium- and long-term moving averages (MA20, MA30, MA50, MA100) remain in a bearish arrangement, with the price being suppressed by the MA100 (144.83 USDT). The medium-term downtrend pressure has not eased, and the correction rally faces resistance and pulls back.
2. Volume-Price Relationship and Capital Flow
Recently, during the pullback phase, trading volume has decreased compared to the rebound period. The volume moving average has also turned downward, indicating reduced willingness of market funds to absorb positions, and short-term longs are exiting. Currently, there is no panic selling volume, suggesting selling pressure has eased, but volume has not significantly expanded. Future focus should be on the direction after consolidation with decreasing volume. If volume breaks support with a large move, the downside risk will further increase.
3. Multi-Dimensional Technical Indicator Validation
• MACD: DIF and DEA form a death cross below the zero line, with the red histogram turning green and continuing to expand, indicating short-term bullish momentum is waning, and bearish forces are gaining strength. The indicator has not yet broken above zero, remaining a sign of weakness. A trend reversal in the medium term requires the indicator to effectively rise above zero and for the red histogram to continue expanding.
• RSI: The current value is 40.67, in a neutral to slightly weak zone, not yet entering overbought or oversold territory. Short-term pullback still has potential space, with no clear signs of momentum exhaustion. Attention should be paid to the RSI turning downward; if it encounters resistance near the 30 level and rebounds, it is likely to trigger a phase rebound.
4. Key Price Levels and Market Dynamics
Resistance Levels
1. 132.48 USDT: The MA10 resistance, the first key obstacle for short-term rebound. Effective breakthrough requires volume support; without volume, upward attempts are likely to face resistance and pull back.
2. 144.83 USDT: The MA100 resistance, a core point for medium-term trend reversal. A volume-supported stabilization above this level will ease medium-term bearish pressure and open space for further upward movement.
Support Levels
1. 127.88 USDT: The MA5 support, also the lower boundary of recent consolidation. An important defensive level for short-term bulls; a break below will weaken the correction trend, trigger short-term exits, and cause the price to revert to weakness and consolidation.
2. 116.78 USDT: The previous low and the starting point of this correction rally, a critical trend dividing line. A confirmed break below this level would mean the correction has failed, and the price will restart its decline.
Overall, the SOL/USDT daily K chart is in a phase of resistance and pullback after an oversold correction. Short-term bearish momentum has increased, but medium-term support still exists. The subsequent trend depends on the strength of the 127.88 support and the breakout of resistance levels above. Volume and price action will be key to the continuation of the trend. #特朗普取消对欧关税威胁