U.S. Secretary of Commerce is optimistic about GDP growth, but interest rate policies have become a stumbling block to economic growth

HashBandit · 2026-01-20T23:36:11+00:00

U.S. Secretary of Commerce predicts that the GDP growth rate in the first quarter of this year will exceed 5%, but points out that high interest rates have suppressed economic potential. He believes that if interest rates are cut, the growth rate could reach 6%. In contrast, the Treasury Secretary's outlook for future growth is more cautious, expecting a growth rate between 4% and 5% in 2026. These changes in macroeconomic expectations have significant impacts on capital allocation and asset prices.

HashBandit

2026-01-20 23:36:11

Abstract generation in progress

【Blockchain Rhythm】 I heard that recently the US Secretary of Commerce made a bold statement at Davos: the GDP growth rate in the first quarter of this year will exceed 5%. However, this guy didn’t hold back and directly said—our interest rates are set too high, which is stifling economic potential.

According to his logic, with the US economy at 3 trillion dollars, a 5% growth rate is quite impressive. But the key point is, if interest rates are further lowered, the growth rate could even reach 6%. The underlying message is: policy is choking our neck.

Interestingly, his forecast is noticeably more optimistic than the Treasury Secretary’s assessment. The Treasury Secretary said at the same forum that the actual growth rate in 2026 is estimated to be between 4% and 5%. The two have quite a different understanding of the outlook.

For the crypto world, such macroeconomic expectations’ fluctuations are indeed worth paying attention to. How interest rate policies ultimately evolve will directly affect capital allocation—this will definitely be reflected in asset prices in the end.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

BTCRetirementFund

· 01-21 00:06

If the interest rate doesn't decrease, Bitcoin will stay the same. No matter how nicely you put it, it's useless.

View OriginalReply0

VitalikFanAccount

· 01-21 00:04

Interest rate drops and the coin rises immediately; this logic is too straightforward... However, the Minister of Commerce is so eager to shift the blame onto interest rate policies, it's quite interesting.

View OriginalReply0

retroactive_airdrop

· 01-21 00:00

Blaming the interest rate again, typical politician rhetoric. But on the other hand, if a rate cut really happens, this wave of coin prices could indeed have a chance.

View OriginalReply0

MEVictim

· 01-20 23:39

Blaming interest rates again, thinking that just cutting rates can make it take off? The reality is not that simple.

View OriginalReply0

MissingSats

· 01-20 23:37

Blaming interest rates again? That's funny, it's still the fault of a weak economy. If the Fed actually listens to him, our currency could skyrocket with rising inflation. The Minister and the Treasurer each say different things, who should we believe? Still depends on how the Fed acts. A 5% growth rate sounds good, and expectations of rate cuts are even better, but this may not necessarily happen.

View OriginalReply0