2026-01-18 19:34:07

Someone's Breaking the Prediction Markets

A trader on Polymarket just hit 56 wins out of 58 NBA prediction bets. Total haul? Over $2 million in profits, sitting at a nearly untouchable 96% win rate.

Think about that for a second. In a space where most people are just throwing darts at the board, this person is playing a completely different game. Either they've stumbled onto the most absurd lucky streak in crypto trading history… or there's something else going on. Maybe insider knowledge. Maybe access to information others don't have. Maybe something in between.

It raises an interesting question about prediction markets and data asymmetry. When the stakes are this high and the success rate is this extreme, you have to wonder what edge they're actually running. This kind of performance doesn't happen by accident in a market that's supposed to be efficient.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

BetterLuckyThanSmart

· 19h ago

96% win rate? Bro, that must be a huge information gap. Don't believe it, it's all just luck.

View OriginalReply0

DAOdreamer

· 19h ago

96% win rate? This guy must have some insider information, otherwise how could he be so steady...

View OriginalReply0

WhaleWatcher

· 19h ago

96% win rate? This guy must either be blessed by the heavens or have some insider information we don't know about. Anyway, it's impossible all just luck. --- Two million in hand... I just want to know how this guy got his information source. It's too outrageous. --- Prediction markets have loopholes; people with information advantage make a killing, while others are just guessing blindly. --- Something's off. This win rate is simply unscientific; there must be something we can't see. --- Is that all? I thought there was some secret trick. Probably just an insider squeezing the market. --- This is the real "breakthrough" in the market; everyone else is just fooling themselves.

View OriginalReply0

RugpullTherapist

· 19h ago

96% win rate? I can't help but laugh. This guy must have a mole at the NBA front desk.

View OriginalReply0

SellTheBounce

· 19h ago

96% win rate? Ha, I've seen too many stories like that. It's either an information gap or a black swan is coming soon. History tells us that when things look glamorous on the surface, it's often when the most bagholders are involved.

View OriginalReply0

DataBartender

· 19h ago

96% win rate? This guy probably has some secret knowledge we don't know about.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketLightning