Technical View on Altcoins: Ethereum and XRP Decline as Downward Pressure Intensifies


Ethereum's price stabilizes between the 100-day Exponential Moving Average support at $3290 and the 200-day EMA resistance at $3339. Sellers largely dominate the market, as evidenced by the RSI dropping to 62 and remaining at this level.

A close below the 100-day EMA support could accelerate losses toward the 50-day EMA support at $3154. The downward trendline from the all-time high of $4956 is also poised to absorb the increase in supply.

However, the MACD indicator on the same chart continues to signal a buy since January 1. The histogram bars are expected to expand above the zero line to confirm the short-term bullish outlook for ETH. A breakout above the 200-day EMA resistance paves the way for an extended bullish trend toward $3447, tested on December 10, and $3658, tested on November 10.

Daily ETH/USDT Chart

As for XRP, its price is currently trading below the 50-day EMA, forming a resistance level at $2.08 at the time of writing on Friday. The RSI has fallen to 51 on the daily chart, indicating a slowdown in bullish momentum and contributing to the price decline.

The RSI's continuous decline below the midline suggests a shift in the overall outlook from positive to negative, which could lead to accelerated losses below the key $2.00 level. XRP may target its January low of $1.82 and its April low of $1.61.

Daily XRP/USDT Chart

The MACD remains slightly below the signal line, which may encourage risk aversion and accelerated decline.

Nevertheless, a decisive breakout above the 50-day EMA at $2.08 is still necessary to confirm a short-term bullish reversal for XRP. Traders expect further resistance at the 100-day EMA at $2.20, the downward trendline, and the 200-day EMA at $2.32.
ETH-1.3%
XRP-1.38%
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Before00zerovip
- Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP face difficulties as retail investor demand declines:
Bitcoin experienced one of its strongest weeks in recent months, reaching a record high of $97,924 on Wednesday. However, this bullish trend, driven by optimism about the U.S. core inflation rate falling below expectations, paused temporarily, forcing Bitcoin to seek support at the $95,000 level.

Despite steady institutional demand through spot ETFs(, which reached a cumulative weekly inflow of $1.81 billion on Thursday, retail interest remains low.

Data from CoinGlass shows that the average open interest )OI( on the Bitcoin exchange was $63 billion on Friday, down from $64 billion on Thursday and $66 billion on Wednesday. This ongoing decline indicates a loss of confidence among investors in short-term positive Bitcoin outlooks, which could weaken the momentum needed to push prices higher.

Open interest in Bitcoin futures contracts | Source: CoinGlass

Ethereum also faces a continuous decline in futures demand on exchanges, as evidenced by the open interest )OI(, representing the notional value of outstanding futures contracts. The average open interest was $41.27 billion on Friday, down from $41.41 billion on Thursday.

Open interest in Ethereum futures contracts | Source: CoinGlass

Meanwhile, demand for XRP derivatives has steadily decreased, reaching $3.94 billion on Friday, down from $3.98 billion the previous day. The open interest peaked at $4.55 billion on January 8, coinciding with XRP's price rising to $2.42. Further declines in open interest could lead to lower prices.

Open interest in XRP futures contracts
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Before00zerovip
· 01-16 19:04
Ethereum is trading within a narrow range between the 100-day Exponential Moving Average support level and the 200-day Exponential Moving Average resistance level. The price of XRP declined slightly for the third consecutive day, driven by ongoing weakness in the derivatives market.
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