January 15 ETH Key Conclusion: Slightly bullish with oscillation, rely on 3300-3280 support for low longs, short at 3400-3420 resistance when opportunities arise, strictly control position size and stop-loss.

I. Key Indicators and Structure (January 15)

- Price Performance: Highest 3403, lowest 3205, about 3380 before press release, oscillating within 3300-3400 range.
- Moving Averages and Trend: Daily chart above EMA30 (3220), EMA120 (3100); 4-hour EMA7/30 golden cross but momentum slowing.
- Indicator Signals: Daily RSI(14)≈69.2, approaching overbought; Daily MACD expanding, 4-hour MACD histogram shrinking, bullish momentum weakening.
- Key Levels: Support at 3300-3280, 3230-3200; Resistance at 3380-3400, 3450-3500.

II. Executable Trading Strategies

- Low Long Strategy (Conservative)
- Entry: Stabilize after pullback to 3300-3280, small position attempt long.
- Stop-loss: Below 3250, risk per trade ≤ 2% of total funds.
- Targets: T1 3380, T2 3400, breakout towards 3450-3500.
- Short Strategy (Aggressive)
- Entry: Rejection and pullback at 3400-3420, light position attempt short.
- Stop-loss: Above 3450, risk per trade ≤ 1% of total funds.
- Targets: T1 3350, T2 3300, breakout below 3280.
- Breakout Response
- Break below 3250: Close long positions, wait or rebound to around 3300 to add short, target 3200.
- Break above 3420: Close short positions, buy on dip near 3380, target 3450-3500.

III. Risk Control Points

- Position Size: Longs ≤ 30%, Shorts ≤ 15%, avoid heavy positions chasing highs.
- Stop-loss: Strictly execute, trailing stop-loss after price breaks T1 up to break-even point.
- Rhythm: Reduce positions and observe when 4-hour shows divergence or volume decline.