There's a signal recently sweeping the crypto community — over the past three months, the Bitcoin derivatives market has been undergoing a frantic deleveraging.



Here's the data: since October last year, Bitcoin open interest (OI) has dropped by 31%. This isn't minor fluctuation; it's the market actively clearing out accumulated excessive leverage. When CryptoQuant's data was released, analyst Darkos1 commented that historically, every such deleveraging phase has often corresponded with a significant market bottom.

Why is this so important? Simply put, the more leverage there is, the more intense the chain reaction of liquidations. Now that leverage is receding, it's like the market has had a time bomb dismantled. Without the pressure of excessive leverage, once sentiment shifts, the rebound could be more pure and powerful.

Of course, this logic relies on a premise — that Bitcoin doesn't continue to fall. If the bear market hasn't fully bottomed out, open interest might continue to shrink, and the deleveraging and market correction would have to play out again. But in current expectations, this three-month-long deleveraging wave is likely a bottom signal. Once the market structure resets, the signs of a bull market may not be far off.
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OnChainArchaeologistvip
· 3h ago
I've heard the bottom signal explanation too many times. The key question is, when are we going to wait for this rebound?
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RumbleValidatorvip
· 3h ago
A 31% OI decline is indeed convincing, but don't forget the prerequisite — the most feared bottom signal is a false bottom. No matter how precise historical data is, it still depends on whether the current verification mechanism is strong enough; otherwise, deleveraging might just be a technical correction. It all depends on whether it can stabilize going forward; deleveraging is just the first step.
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MEVHunterNoLossvip
· 3h ago
A 31% drop—that's a clear warning. Historically, every time this has happened, it's been the bottom. I believe in this.
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OneBlockAtATimevip
· 3h ago
Deleveraging by 31% is indeed impressive, but brother, I still have to question the "bottom signal" you mentioned. After all, has the bear market really ended?
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AirdropAnxietyvip
· 3h ago
A 31% drop sounds intense, but honestly I still have some doubts that this is the bottom signal. Historical patterns in the crypto world are often not that reliable. --- Deleveraging this round is probably a good thing, but if BTC continues to fall, the time bomb is still there, and everyone will have to keep爆. --- Disarming the time bomb makes me feel a bit more at ease, but I'm just worried there will be new tricks later on. --- Wait, is this logic a bit too optimistic? Can we just say it's a bottom signal? --- Wow, 31%, the market is definitely clearer now. Let's see if BTC can hold steady and not drop further. --- Every time they talk about a bottom signal, but in the end, we still get caught out. It's getting a bit tiring.
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mev_me_maybevip
· 3h ago
A 31% decrease in open interest, it really sounds like they're liquidating. Just worried that another black swan might break through the bottom.
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