That research call turned out pretty solid in the end. But here's what I've learned the hard way—developer intentions remain the wildcard nobody can truly game. Teams that look poised to succeed sometimes drop the ball. I've seen projects with massive momentum just pull the rug when they hit 20-25k, leaving everything in ruins. It's the unpredictability factor that keeps this space brutal. No amount of analysis can account for what's actually going on behind the scenes with those building the project.