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This year's World Cup could bring a surge to prediction markets.
After carefully reviewing an annual report, the most impressive idea was still the concept of multi-user online interaction—raising the dimension of prediction markets directly to the level of internet interaction. This approach definitely has some potential.
Since the emergence of AI, the scarcity of information has essentially disappeared. Searching, generating, analyzing—all are fast. But what has become truly scarce is trustworthy, insightful viewpoints.
Looking at it from another angle, this might be the beginning of viewpoint assetization. In an era of information overload, what’s truly valuable are those verified viewpoints that can generate real value. The logic of prediction markets lies here—linking viewpoints to outcomes and using market mechanisms to filter.
Connecting online interaction, viewpoints verification, and other elements, once combined, the potential of prediction markets could be much greater than it is now.