Recently, the pace of new listings on a major exchange's futures contracts has noticeably slowed down. From the Alpha project side, it’s estimated that there won't be many new coins launching in the near future unless Solana's chain produces a super golden dog again.

I analyzed the data and found that the probability of meme coins gaining volume on the futures side is actually higher than the chance of new Alpha coins launching. Projects like $我踏马来了 can reach a 50M scale on the futures, and $老子, $黑马 can also reach around 15M. But if new coins continue to grow, the FDV is very likely to fail to break through 10M.

Instead of waiting for new coins, it might be better to consider opening up the ceiling of the already listed meme coins' futures contracts. This approach might have a higher success rate. If Alpha really plans to launch new coins, from a cultural bottom-up perspective, concepts like "grassroots culture," "crying horse," and "life K-line" will have higher popularity.

After reviewing the futures records from the past few months, I realized that there are fewer and fewer projects with FDV below 50M on a major exchange. Currently, meme coins overall don't look very optimistic, and honestly, they don't quite meet the conditions for futures listing. The safest strategy might be to wait until projects that haven't listed on Alpha drop to around 1-2M, and then see if there's an opportunity to bottom fish.