#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 Reaching this stage, the significance of these ideas indeed varies.

Over the past two years, I’ve gained some insights into market trends, specific levels, and timing. Simply reading a few trading books is definitely not enough. Having experienced four cycles of bull and bear markets, accumulating experience through ups and downs, and exploring from various angles, I can’t claim to be unique, but when it comes to level and timing models, there are indeed few who can match.

Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation and shrinking volume phase. As various events are gradually unfolding, the overall trend has experienced a delayed effect, but the expected levels will eventually be reached. It’s not impossible for Bitcoin to re-stand above $108,000 or even touch $110,000—the key is that this energy accumulation phase must be fully in place. If $82,000 is the midpoint and a bottom-fishing opportunity for this round of accumulation, then the next possible support levels could be at $78,000, $68,000, or even $65,000, or lower—depending on how thoroughly the energy has been accumulated.

Ethereum’s impact on Bitcoin manifests as a spike-like trend, which is very clear. I previously conducted focused analysis around the $0.12 level.

There are no eternal masters in the industry, only people who keep learning. Learning, re-learning, and continuous learning—only then can one better grasp levels and trends with high probability, while maintaining strict risk control. Ultimately, it’s about understanding human nature and self-awareness.