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Recently, I came across an interesting observation: the price fluctuations of Ethereum are surprisingly highly correlated with the Nasdaq 100. Industry insiders have openly stated that—ETH has evolved from a standalone asset into a chain-representative of the tech stock index rather than an independent asset.
The data indeed speaks for itself. Last week, when AI concept stocks were out of favor, ETH also declined; this week, as tech stocks rebounded, ETH quickly followed suit. This synchronization is hardly coincidental. After heavyweight tech companies like Oracle weathered debt crises, the Nasdaq quickly stabilized—ETH's movements mirrored this pattern. This phenomenon warrants deep reflection.
Why is this happening? The participation of institutional funds has changed the game. The narrative of ETH as the "world computer" has gradually taken a backseat, replaced by dual drivers: macro liquidity and market sentiment. Whenever the Nasdaq experiences sharp fluctuations, ETH's response often exceeds that of BTC. The underlying logic is quite clear—it has become deeply tied to the fate of tech stocks.
A typical example is the controversy surrounding Broadcom's CEO's remarks. A single comment about the AI industry triggered a chain reaction in the tech sector, causing ETH to plummet. When the market later realized it was an overreaction, ETH rebounded along with tech stocks. In this back-and-forth process, many investors who didn't do their homework got caught in traps.
It seems that if you only focus on on-chain data and technical updates, you're missing a key variable. To understand ETH's movements now, you must also monitor the Nasdaq 100 trend, the dynamics of leading AI stocks, and even macro policy signals. ETH is no longer just a technical asset story.
Interestingly—while the core philosophy of blockchain is decentralization and trustlessness, ETH has become the most reliant on "trust": trusting Nasdaq, trusting institutional pricing, trusting market sentiment. This is not irony; it reflects the current market reality. True participants need to recognize this—pay attention to both on-chain technological progress and off-chain capital flows and sentiment pulses. Both must be watched, both must be strong.