2025-12-25 02:41:03

#比特币与黄金战争 $BTC Market Brief｜12.15

Today's market is oscillating within a range, repeatedly testing boundaries. The logic of shorting at highs and longing at lows must continue. Once the support level is broken, the positions must be cut decisively. The extent of sideways consolidation indicates how far the market can go, while vertical declines can be as deep as the downward move.

In the long term, the bear market pattern is essentially confirmed, but there is a hidden risk to watch out for — the monthly death cross can easily trigger a rebound. Think back to 2022, when the two-month consecutive rebound in January and February was actually during the period of the monthly death cross; history often repeats itself. Don't get overly optimistic because of a rebound; the possibility of further decline is greater.

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SchrodingerGas

· 5h ago

The monthly death cross pattern, indeed, 2022 has turned the page on this. The probability of history repeating itself should be taken into account. The rebound trap is even more dangerous; don't be fooled by a few bullish candles. The decline could be much deeper than the rebound. When trading sideways within a range, the key is the breakout direction. Once support levels are broken, cut losses decisively—there's no need to hesitate. The death cross rebound is a common technical trap; many have been caught here. Keep a steady mindset. The potential downside space depends on the height of the range; this logic is sound.

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AirdropAutomaton

· 6h ago

The box repeatedly oscillates, and this kind of market tests the most patience. Let's see if the support level can hold. Once it breaks, a decisive stop-loss is necessary, no negotiations. It's true that history repeats itself. The rebound in 2022 almost tricked people into buying in. Now the monthly chart shows a death cross again, so we need to be more cautious and not be blinded by short-term rebounds. After a period of sideways consolidation and further decline, the current pace suggests continuing with a bearish outlook. Only consider bottom-fishing if a genuine rebound occurs. It's not worth catching falling knives right now.

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Tokenomics911

· 6h ago

The paragraph about the monthly death cross really hit me. In 2022, I was also fooled by a rebound. This time, I must learn my lesson. If it breaks below the support level, cut immediately. Don't wait like a gambler. The bear market pattern has been confirmed. The rebound might just be a trap, so stay alert. Oscillating within the range, this is a torturous rhythm. The saying that history repeats itself is indeed reasonable, but who the hell can predict it perfectly? Being pessimistic is the right approach. Proper stop-loss is better than anything else.

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Ser_APY_2000

· 6h ago

I remember the monthly death cross rebound strategy; I was really fooled in 2022. This time, I need to be more cautious.

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GweiWatcher

· 6h ago

Another consolidation phase, so annoying. When will there be a clear direction?

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