2025-12-25 01:22:18

Regarding the recent trend of BTC, there are several phenomena worth noting.

In the past 3 days, there has been a net outflow of main funds exceeding $220 million. This is not a simple position adjustment, but more like a gradual withdrawal. From the candlestick chart, the price around $87,830 faces obvious resistance, with multiple attempts to break through but all being suppressed. The support levels below are gradually weakening, and a downward trend pattern has already emerged.

From the market sentiment indicators, the bearish voices among retail investors are also increasing. According to statistics, over 60% of traders are bearish on BTC. When both the funding aspect and the sentiment aspect point in the same direction, this signal becomes especially noteworthy.

In this context, if the price continues to weaken, two levels can be monitored. The first support is around 86,500, which is the zone where a rebound might occur during the first wave of decline. If this level also breaks, 84,500 becomes a relatively safe safe-haven position.

The essence of trading is to find high-probability opportunities amid uncertainty. When the technical, funding, and market sentiment dimensions all confirm the same direction, the risk and reward balance should be re-evaluated.

BTC0.45%

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UnruggableChad

· 10h ago

The main force is really running, $220 million has been withdrawn. This is not an adjustment; it's a dump. Retail investors are 60% bearish, so why hasn't it dropped? It feels like they are repeatedly shaking out the weak hands, this 87830. If it breaks 86500, I'll go short, betting on a drop to 84500. Anyway, since it's already like this, what else can I do?

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StableGenius

· 10h ago

nah, empirically speaking the $2.2B outflow narrative is getting recycled again... i've warned about this sentiment trap before. when 60% are bearish it's usually the tell, not the signal.

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SmartContractPlumber

· 10h ago

Both the liquidity and sentiment are simultaneously bearish, which is definitely not a good sign. The $220 million net outflow is like discovering a permissions control vulnerability during an audit—seems insignificant, but once an issue arises, it triggers a chain reaction.

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SurvivorshipBias

· 10h ago

$220 million net outflow? This time, they're really leaving, the main players have already shifted their positions. --- 60% bearish isn't enough; we need to see if fund managers are also cutting their holdings. --- Damn, hitting a wall at 87,830 again. How strong is this resistance level? --- If 86,500 breaks, I'll head straight to 84,500 to avoid repeated hits. --- Both the funding and sentiment indicators point downward. This is ridiculous, no wonder everyone in the group is calling for a short. --- What are the high-probability targets now? It's just high-probability profit-taking. --- The downward pattern has already appeared? Should I consider reducing my position? --- If the main players are withdrawing, who will take over the position? Still those retail investors? --- Weakening support levels are the most frightening; it feels like nothing can stop the decline. --- 3D verification in the same direction sounds very professional, but I just want to know when the rebound will happen.

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ChainChef

· 10h ago

ngl the recipe's starting to look half-baked when whales are seasoning their exit with 220m... that 87830 resistance keeps getting rejected like overcooked protein, kinda sus. if it simmers down to 86500 i'm watching closely, but honestly when 60% of retail tastes blood in the water you know the market's about to flip its plate

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NeonCollector