2025-12-25 01:22:05

TAO's recent performance is quite interesting—on one hand, the price is rebounding and AI narratives continue to heat up; on the other hand, market volatility remains, and some old issues still need to be addressed. Let's take a closer look at what's really going on.

**Highlights in the past few days**

Starting from the 24-hour low of 207.10, TAO has rebounded by 5.4%. The technical outlook looks good, with a clear bullish MACD signal, and RSI climbing from 22.90 to 62.47, indicating that buying momentum is indeed strengthening. At times like this, it's easy to think that the bottom might really be in.

Institutional attention in the AI field is also rising—Virtune launched an ETP on Nasdaq Stockholm on December 19, 2025, providing a compliant channel to participate in TAO, which is a significant signal.

Plus, the halving event in December this year directly cut daily issuance by 50%, instantly increasing scarcity. The network's daily revenue remains stable at 78,000, which can support value in the long term.

**But there are also many issues**

This is a place where calm analysis is needed. TAO is still below the long-term moving average EMA99 (220.01). Technical analysts generally predict further decline, with some even pointing to levels like 200, 194, or more extreme targets around 167.

After the halving, it actually fell by 20.7%, which is a typical "buy on news, sell on rebound" pattern—market sentiment remains somewhat cold. Moreover, the over 8 million hacker incident in July 2024, along with the role of the OpenTensor Foundation in block validation, has kept people cautious about Bittensor's decentralization process. These doubts won't disappear overnight.

**Community voices**

Currently, opinions in the community are really divided. Some see TAO below 300 as a rare accumulation opportunity driven by AI narratives and believe it's worth entering. Others are fixated on technical charts, firmly believing the price will continue to bottom out, even mentioning long-term targets of 90-130.

In short, whether the short-term rebound can continue depends largely on whether market sentiment can truly turn around and the pace of institutional entry. For now, it's still in the observation stage.

TAO6.09%

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BlockchainBouncer

· 1h ago

Halving causes a 20% drop, that's outrageous. No matter how good the news is, the market action is what really counts. This wave of TAO's rebound feels like a false alarm; the EMA99 is still firmly pressing down. Technical analysts are all pointing to the 167 level, but I remain skeptical. Concerns about decentralization haven't disappeared since the 8 million hacker incident. Can this halving change anything? It feels like putting old wine in a new bottle. There are indeed signals of institutional entry, but it still seems like a game of catching the bag holders. At this point, I think it's safer to just watch the show. Bottom signals? Wake up, everyone. We might need to go lower. Until market sentiment turns around, anyone who dares to buy in will get cut.

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ServantOfSatoshi

· 3h ago

The halving dropped over 20 points, really typical—once the news hype starts, everyone rushes out. That's the nature of this market cycle. The shadow of the hacker incident hasn't fully dissipated yet, no wonder people have doubts about decentralization; trust needs to be rebuilt gradually. Buying in below 300? I think we need to wait and see more; the technical chart is right there. Wait until the ETP stabilizes truly; institutions are the key. No one can say for sure whether it's the bottom or if it will continue to fall. A 5% rebound and everyone gets excited—that's a bit impatient. The 8 million hacker case is really a thorn in the side; after all the hype, it’s back in the spotlight. RSI at 62 isn’t much; we need to see if it can break through the EMA99 to know if it’s a genuine move or just a weak rebound.

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LonelyAnchorman

· 3h ago

The halving actually dropped by 20.7%, this is f***ing ridiculous, a typical main force accumulation tactic. Speaking of that 8 million hacker incident, I was already nervous at the time, and I'm still observing now, haven't made up my mind. RSI has risen to 62, and I'm a bit tempted, but the situation below EMA99 makes me a little hesitant. Wait, can 167 really drop that much? Then I need to stock up some. Institutional entry is the real signal, it's still early, let's stay calm and watch a bit more.

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LightningLady

· 3h ago

The halving still could lead to a 20.7% drop, which is unbelievable. It feels like news alone can't save the market. Speaking of that 8 million hacker incident, it's really a mental burden. No wonder people still have doubts about decentralization. The price is hovering below EMA99. Technical traders are all waiting for a bottom, and this rhythm is a bit uncomfortable. Is around 200 yuan really the true opportunity? But it still depends on when institutions will actually step in. If you bought below 300, you might have to wait. The market sentiment still needs to cool down for a while. Hmm, can Virtune's ETP operations really boost institutional enthusiasm this time? I'm a bit hopeful but also not too optimistic. The community is buzzing. Someone is calling for a bottom at 90 yuan. The gap is huge. The old trick of selling on rebounds. TAO is still stuck in this cycle. It needs to break EMA99 to move forward. Scarcity has increased, but the market isn't buying it. AI narratives can't withstand this cold, indifferent sentiment.

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