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Recently, there has been a prominent figure on the blockchain, nicknamed "20 Million Wave Hunter." His trading activity has attracted a lot of attention. Since October, this trader has used $20 million of principal, with accumulated unrealized profits exceeding $104 million. What does this mean? In less than three months, the capital has increased by 52 times.
His trading style is quick in and out, with an average holding period of about 20 hours. Recently, his main bets have been on Ethereum shorts and HYPE shorts. The short positions in these two assets account for over 98%, making them the largest short positions on the Hyperliquid platform.
News has spread, and many retail investors can’t sit still. Large funds heavily shorting—does that mean a big drop is coming? Should they also open a short position to follow? Don’t rush; let’s analyze rationally.
Whale positions indeed reflect large funds’ short-term trend judgments. Betting such big amounts against ETH and HYPE suggests traders expect these two assets to face strong selling pressure or technical adjustments. But this does not determine the market’s final direction. On-chain data is just a reference, not an iron law—this big account’s short positions also have liquidation prices. If the market reverses and breaks through, they may be forced to close their positions, which could even push the price higher.
The most important reminder for retail investors is: never blindly follow the trend and open a short. The risk tolerance, position management, and capacity of large funds are completely different from small investors. You may not be able to withstand the volatility they can handle.
Practical advice: if you currently hold ETH or HYPE, set your stop-loss now to avoid being shaken out by short-term fluctuations; if you haven’t entered the market yet, wait a bit longer, check the liquidation charts and overall market sentiment, and avoid chasing highs or selling lows in a hurry. Market conditions change rapidly—sticking to your position discipline and risk management is often more reliable than following others’ trades.