Pi Coin 2025 Year-End Investment Guide: Assessing Mining Value and Rendite Opportunities from $0.20

The current situation of Pi Coin is confusing. More than half a year has passed since the Mainnet launch, yet the price has fallen from $0.55 to $0.20, a decline of nearly 87%. However, a large amount of funds still flow in daily, indicating that market sentiment toward this project remains uncertain. The key question is: Is it still worth investing? Where exactly is the value of Pi Mining?

The Real Operating Logic of Pi Network: Not Mining, But Participation

Many people are confused by the word “Mining.” Let’s clarify: Pi’s mining is not traditional mining at all.

Bitcoin and Ethereum require massive computational power to solve mathematical problems and secure the network. Pi is completely different—it uses the Stellar Consensus Protocol (SCP) mechanism, replacing computational power with social trust.

The actual process is simple:

• Open the app and tap a button once a day (Proof of Presence)
• Build a Security Circle by adding trusted contacts
• These trust relationships form a global trust graph
• Use this graph to verify transactions

No complex algorithms, no high-energy hardware, no real “mining.” Rather than calling it mining, it’s better described as an engagement mechanism—participants support the network through daily activities and trust networks.

This is Pi’s core innovation: replacing machine work with human activity. User-friendly and environmentally friendly, but it also raises a question—does this kind of “mining” have any real value as a reward?

Price Trends: From Speculation to Reality

This is a clear downward trend. The high point in May now looks like a “false breakout”—no matter how optimistic the rhetoric, the chart shows the facts: although circulation has reached 8.37 billion coins, the price continues to decline.

From a technical perspective:

• RSI approaching oversold territory, but no clear rebound signals
• MACD remains negative, no buying momentum
• Trading volume is sluggish, market enthusiasm has waned

The Two Fates of Pi Miners

For early pioneers: They invested time, not money. Five years of clicking a button daily, and now Pi has fallen from $0 to $0.20. From a mathematical standpoint, this is already a “return”—after all, the cost was zero.

But there’s a trap in this thinking: if Pi continues to fall to $0.01, the accumulated coins become meaningless.

For those now wanting to buy Pi: The situation is entirely different. You need to invest real money, and the chart shows this project is depreciating. Buying Pi at $0.20 isn’t based on bullish signals but is a gamble that it won’t keep falling. Essentially, this is a bet, not an investment.

The Economic Logic of Pi Mining: The Key Supply Issue

This is the most overlooked point: Pi’s maximum supply is 10 billion coins.

Currently, only 8.37 billion are in circulation. That means over 90% of the coins are yet to be released.

Imagine this scenario:

• If only 8.4 billion coins are circulating, $0.20 corresponds to a market cap of $1.7 billion ✓
• If future releases reach 10 billion coins, the same market cap would push the price down to $0.14 ↓
• If all 10 billion coins are eventually in circulation, how much pressure will that put on the price?

This is not just theoretical; it’s reality. Each time KYC is completed, each new coin unlocks, the price faces selling pressure. Unless demand grows simultaneously, increasing supply will inevitably depress the price.

Can it reach $1? Technically possible, but in reality?

Short-term breakthrough to $1? Possible—if several conditions are met simultaneously:

1. Mainstream exchanges list Pi (currently mainly on HTX, XT.com, and other mid-sized platforms)
2. Market hype restarts
3. A positive news event stimulates interest

Sustaining $1 long-term? Much more difficult. Unless:

• Pi’s real-world application scenarios explode (none are visible yet)
• User numbers grow exponentially (current growth is slowing)
• Supply is artificially limited (not officially stated)

Data shows reaching $1 would require a market cap of $8.37 billion. For comparison:

• Cardano’s market cap is about $37 billion
• Solana’s is about $50 billion
• Dogecoin’s is about $35 billion

To reach this level, Pi would need to become a truly ecosystem-rich, application-driven, competitive blockchain. Currently, there’s no clear roadmap.

What should Pi miners and investors do?

For existing miners:
Participation costs are almost zero; stopping doesn’t matter. The key is not to have high expectations for the price. If Pi ever truly takes off, your accumulated gains could be significant. But if it ends up as a small coin, you only lose “the time you didn’t have.”

For new investors wanting to buy:
Honestly, now is not the time to enter. The reasons are simple:

• Price is still falling, with no reversal signals
• Supply pressure is huge, with large future unlocks
• The ecosystem is immature
• There are many better crypto assets to choose from

If you really want to participate, wait for two signals:

1. Price forms a support at a certain bottom (e.g., $0.10) and rebounds consistently
2. The official releases substantial plans for ecological applications

Reality check: Is Pi a scam?

Clear answer: No, it’s not a traditional scam.

• No forced deposits
• No promises of high returns
• Mining is free to participate
• Mainnet has indeed launched

But:

• Official promises often miss deadlines
• Technical transparency is lacking
• Many promotional claims can’t be verified
• Price is entirely driven by hype, with no fundamental support

Labeling Pi as a “high-risk experimental project” is more accurate than calling it a scam. Participants should be prepared for the worst—if tomorrow the official announcement halts the project, your Pi will be worthless.

Long-term outlook (2025-2030)

Based on the current $0.20 price and complex market variables, here are two scenarios:

Conservative forecast:
Prices continue to decline slowly, returning to $0.30-$0.40 by the end of 2026, stabilizing around $0.50-$0.80 by 2030. This assumes steady operation without major breakthroughs.

Optimistic forecast:
If Pi launches more mainstream exchanges and ecological applications start landing by the end of 2025, it could return to $1.00-$1.50 by late 2026, reaching $3.00-$5.00 by 2030. But this requires significant market sentiment improvement and project execution.

Reality:
The most likely scenario is a middle ground. Pi will remain a small-cap coin, fluctuating between $0.10 and $0.50, with occasional rebounds but no sustained upward trend.

Final advice

The value of Pi Coin’s mining and investment depends on your perspective:

• If you value time-cost return: For early participants, Pi Mining has “succeeded”—zero investment, gaining an asset with some positive value.

• If you value future appreciation: The current $0.20 price already reflects a cautious market assessment. Investing new funds now carries higher risk than potential reward.

• If you focus on technological innovation: Pi’s social trust mining model is creative, but its practical application remains unclear.

Bottom line:
If you already have Pi, hold it and don’t expect short-term doubling. If you’re considering buying, wait for clearer positive signals. The story of Pi is still unfolding, but the current price isn’t cheap relative to its actual demonstrated value.