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Solana's recent trend truly tests people's patience. Over the weekend, it repeatedly hovered around $125, with bulls and bears alike deflated like punctured balloons—no one wanted to be the first to act. But if you've been immersed in this space long enough, you'll understand the signals behind this dull movement—it's usually the calm before the storm.
My core judgment remains unchanged: there will be a short-term dip, followed by a genuine upward opportunity. But this isn't a simple linear trend; there are many details worth pondering in the middle.
**The tactics of big funds have always been the same**
Recently, I've heard many voices saying that certain large institutions are pouring money into the Solana ecosystem, with a lot of bullish sentiment. This is indeed a positive sign, but the problem is—such news often becomes a "clear card." Large funds never come in loudly and tell retail investors "Follow quickly"; their approach is more sophisticated: taking advantage of the market's most complacent moments to make a sudden plunge, shaking out those who aren't firm enough in their holdings.
On-chain data also confirms this. The hype isn't as intense as before, indicating that relying solely on ecosystem stories is no longer enough to attract buying. The market needs real capital support, not just expectations. So, for the current positive news, stay rational and don't let emotions dictate your judgment.
**Technical analysis is clear**
Just look at the chart. The price levels around 130 to 134 are like a ceiling stuck there, especially the previous high before 134. A bunch of trapped positions are eagerly waiting to be unlocked. Currently, there's no volume surge or supporting sentiment—trying to break through in one go? The probability isn't high.
The support levels below are more critical. Around 121 is a short-term line of defense, but to truly test this trend's strength, we need to see if it can hold around 116. Indicators are weakening, and volume is shrinking—it's like telling us that the market isn't ready to charge forward yet. Over the weekend, no one was willing to be that screw.
Since that's the case, instead of forcing a break, it's better to accumulate strength first. Sometimes, stepping back is for a better leap forward.