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Interesting to see the latest FOMC dot plot showing only one potential 25BPS cut in 2026 with more significant cuts in 2027.
This could he interpreted as the majority see inflation being sticky in 2026 as they see it today.
This ofc doesn’t take into account the changing of the guard with trumps pick to replace Powell and although powell or the chairman himself does decide the rate, (he gets one vote out of 12) he/she holds strong influence over the outcome.
I think that Post Powell, the dot plot will change significanly for better or for worse with more cuts regardless of the long term repercussions.
Trump is intent on that and is already stacking the board of governors
Anyway. Lets see how it all plays out