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【Wharton Alumnus】 Weekend Recap: The "Soft Landing" Expiry – BTC & ETH Poised for Launch
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The massive November 28th options expiry has concluded smoothly.
Based on underlying financial market logic, the shrinking volume and sideways consolidation over the weekend is an extremely positive signal. It means the worst-case scenario expectations (smashing price below $85k) did not materialize, and the market's phased bottom has been successfully probed.
Here is the core analysis based on the latest weekend data:
🔹 Regarding BTC: Holding $90k, Targeting ATHs
* Market Interpretation: BTC's low-volume consolidation above $91,000 over the weekend indicates exhaustion of selling power post-expiry. The $90,000 level has transformed from a psychological barrier into a solid line of defense.
* Capital Logic: Although ETFs do not trade on weekends, Friday's data showed top institutions like BlackRock did not engage in panic selling. There is high consensus on Wall Street that the sub-$90k range is a "value zone."
* Future Outlook: The decisive battle will be Monday's US pre-market session. Key focus: Can it break and hold $93,000 with significant volume? A breakout here opens the path straight to previous all-time highs.
🔹 Regarding ETH: Extreme Compression, Primed for Ignition
* Market Interpretation: ETH is defending the $3,000 integer gate fiercely. This price action, which is counter-intuitive to retail sentiment, is often backed by strong passive institutional absorption.
* Sentiment vs. Capital Divergence: Public sentiment is extremely pessimistic, yet on-chain data reveals "smart money" quietly rotating from BTC into ETH. The ETH/BTC ratio sits at a historic floor, offering high odds.
* Future Outlook: ETH currently resembles a spring compressed to its limit. Once it breaks out and firmly holds above $3,150, it could trigger significant short covering, and its rebound explosiveness will likely exceed BTC's.
💡 Alumnus Insight (For Reference Only):
The weekend is a window for bullish accumulation. For investors who haven't established positions yet, $90,000 BTC and $3,000 ETH likely represent allocation zones with a high margin of safety. Patiently await the market's chosen direction on Monday.
(Disclaimer: This content is for personal market observation only and does not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; decision-making requires caution.)
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#BTC #ETH #MarketAnalysis #WhartonAlumnus $BTC $ETH