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Don't remind me again today

Bond traders seem cautiously optimistic about the latest UK Budget rollout. But here's the real question: what's this going to do to inflation numbers, and more importantly, how might the Bank of England react?



Some analysts are breaking down the ripple effects. The Budget's fiscal stance could push inflation metrics in unexpected directions. If spending increases without corresponding productivity gains, we might see persistent price pressures. That puts the BoE in a tricky spot.

Central bank watchers are eyeing potential rate decisions closely. Will they hold steady or adjust course? The bond market's initial response suggests investors are pricing in multiple scenarios. Short-term gilt yields already reflected some recalibration.

For those tracking macro trends that influence risk assets, these traditional finance moves matter. When central banks shift gears, liquidity conditions change across all markets. Worth monitoring how this unfolds over the next quarter.
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SudoRm-RfWallet/vip
· 2h ago
The pound is going to be messed up again, and no matter how the BoE tries to save it, it will be useless.
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GateUser-74b10196vip
· 6h ago
The pound is about to take another hit; it would be ridiculous if the BoE doesn't raise interest rates.
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TokenSherpavip
· 6h ago
honestly the BoE's gonna have to choose between looking stupid or actually raising rates... which one you think happens first lol
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MEVHuntervip
· 6h ago
Wait, bond traders are optimistic? What I'm seeing is a Liquidity Trap... If the BoE doesn't move, inflation will keep biting without letting go. If they raise interest rates, gilts will plummet, and those Arbitrage Bots in the mempool will probably have to monitor the price differences crazy again.
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GamefiHarvestervip
· 6h ago
The pound is about to be tossed around again, the BoE will be criticized no matter what choice it makes. --- Without an increase in productivity, inflation is sure to da moon, and the central bank must be crying. --- Still looking at bonds? Changes in liquidity are the real bomb, monitor it closely. --- gilts have reacted quickly this time; the market has already begun to use multiple methods for hedging. --- Playing with fiscal stance like this, the inflation data is definitely going to explode. --- If the central bank really raises interest rates, risk assets will need to be repriced, which is a bit concerning. --- Productivity can't keep up with spending, isn't this a sign of stagflation? --- The fluctuations in the next quarter should be significant, those with holdings need to pay attention. --- The BoE is in a pit no matter which way it turns; whether to hold or cut is uncomfortable.
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zkProofGremlinvip
· 6h ago
Here we go again with inflation... The BoE really can't hold on this time, can it? 🤔 --- Thinking that spending can suppress inflation when productivity hasn't caught up? That's just a dream. --- Gilt yields are moving, liquidity is about to change. --- When the Central Bank shifts, all markets will have to dance along. --- To put it bluntly, it's still a gamble on how the BoE will react; nobody can say for sure. --- If the fiscal stance isn't handled well, it just adds fuel to inflation... and then the rate decision will have to be reshuffled. --- In the short term, it's all about keeping a close watch; we'll only know the real situation next quarter. --- The optimism of bond traders seems a bit hasty... the real test is still ahead. --- Right now, pricing in multiple scenarios just shows the market's uncertainty.
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