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Don't remind me again today

Crypto革命者

2025-11-26 15:40:18

#比特币波动性 The market has shown conflicting signals again! The latest report indicates that the number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. dropped to 216,000, which is significantly lower than the market expectation of 225,000. The data looks quite strong, suggesting that the labor market may not be as weak as it seems.

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But strangely, the US dollar index is still weak, hovering around 99.60. Why? Because traders simply don't believe it. That Daly from the San Francisco Fed previously warned about the sudden collapse of employment, hinting at support for a rate cut in December. Moreover, the retail data is indeed disappointing, and the market is firmly convinced that a rate cut is a done deal.

Now is a typical case of data clashing with expectations: on one side, the weekly employment data shows resilience, while on the other side, the dovish tone of Federal Reserve officials aligns with other weak indicators. The result is that the dollar continues to be suppressed, and risk assets may start to become restless again.

In this torn market environment, who do you think will come out on top? The data faction or the expectation faction?

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ForumMiningMaster

· 11h ago

The Fed is pretending to sleep, but the traders are all wide awake. --- Interest rate cuts are set, just waiting to see how December plays out, anyway the dollar is doomed. --- Data PI? Too naive, the expectation PI has already won, money is all in futures. --- It's the same old story, just wait for the follow-up surge. --- Dalio's mouth is much more effective than data, terrifying. --- Retail is disappointing, the employment data is just a scam. --- The excitement has begun, everyone buckle up. --- Expectation PI makes money, data PI just has soup, no need to explain how to choose. --- The dollar is spinning around 99.6? Someone has already bet on the bottom, just waiting to get liquidated. --- The logic of interest rate cuts can't escape, the timeline for risk assets to da moon is already set.

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FloorPriceWatcher

· 21h ago

Uh, isn't this just the Fed playing both sides? They talk tough on employment but are already paving the way for rate cuts. Traders won't be fooled by this data, they're all waiting for that December cut. Isn't it obvious how the dollar has been hammered? Risk assets should be restless by now. The expectation for the PI to win is set unless the Fed suddenly turns hawkish, otherwise, there's no suspense.

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MetaverseMigrant

· 21h ago

With such strong expectations of interest rate cuts, the dollar should have died long ago, haha --- Once again, data says one thing, and the rhetoric says another, a typical Fed double standard script --- Honestly, I’m tired of this feeling of being torn apart; in the end, the winners are still the institutions --- ETH is about to da moon; as long as the dollar continues to be weak, risk assets have a chance --- Just asking, how ridiculous must Daly's words be to suppress hard data? I believe it, do you? --- If retail is disappointing, interest rate cuts are definitely unavoidable; this time it’s really different --- The expectations crowd is about to win; the data crowd has been slapped in the face so many times, who still believes in them? --- Restlessness is back again, are you ready to catch a falling knife, bro?

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MoonRocketTeam

· 21h ago

It's another one of those heart-pounding situations, with hard data on one side and a dovish tone on the other, which is just loading the short positions. With the dollar being suppressed, risk assets have a chance; it feels like the launch window for next month is about to open, just depends on whether this rate cut booster can ignite.

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ImpermanentTherapist

· 21h ago

Fed's rhetoric vs real data, an eternal classic showdown, anyway in the end it's all about coin rise and we profit --- 216,000 unemployment data is hard, but Daly's dovish tone is even harder, the market just eats this trap, the dollar is being smashed to pieces --- Simply put, the interest rate cut expectation has killed all data, no matter how hard the employment numbers are, they can't hold up, will risk assets surge again? Let's wait and see --- Why must it be either/or, the market wants both, data is hard but the expectation story is more enticing --- Dollar 99.60 continues to be beaten, is this a signal to leverage us up haha --- Doves in charge, data is just floating clouds, good news is treated like bad news for speculation, this routine is all too familiar --- Retail disappointment is the real issue, one employment data can't change the overall situation, the interest rate cut is a done deal right? --- The expectation camp must win, unless data continues to exceed expectations, but the probability is low, the dollar still has to fall --- What feels the best about tearing the market apart for environmental protection? Being able to sway both sides, as long as you dare to go all in.

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LostBetweenChains

· 21h ago

Is the expectation of interest rate cuts greater than the data? It's the same old routine, betting on the Fed's dovish stance, and in the end, it's always us retail investors who get slapped in the face. Do risk assets want to get excited? Let's see how long this round can last before we talk, don't let it be another flash in the pan. To put it bluntly, the dollar can't even fall if it wanted to, the real game has just begun. Don't choose sides, both factions have sharp tongues; the market data will speak for itself.

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LeekCutter

· 21h ago

The dollar is about to take a hit again, and retail investors are going to start going all in. --- Interest rate cut expectations are poison; once you swallow it, you can't stop. --- To put it bluntly, traders don't look at the data at all, they just watch Powell's expression. --- This time the doves won again, and the data was completely ignored, it's over. --- Wait for it, it's about to be our turn to be played for suckers, the routine is always like this. --- Every time Daly opens his mouth, the coin price comes alive, much more effective than the candlestick. --- Contradictory signals? I see it as just a unified storyline of the market. --- What does a weak dollar mean? Does it mean my USDT is going to depreciate? --- Risk assets are getting restless, this little position of mine is basically not enough to look at. --- Just wait for the December interest rate cut to seal the deal; right now it's all foreplay.

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