The BTC trend remains unchanged, and short-term pullbacks are not to be feared. No top signals have been observed at the monthly level, and key support remains strong: since first reaching $120,000 in July, it has stayed above $109,000 for four consecutive months, indicating that funds have not exited the market, and this is not the peak of the cycle.

Unlike the pattern of continuous decline after reaching historical highs, the current trend resembles a high-level turnover—main players are shaking out their positions, while new funds are actively taking over, jointly supporting the price.

On a macro level, keep a close eye on gold and M2. In the long term, both are significantly correlated with BTC trends. Historical patterns show that after gold peaks, Bitcoin often hits bottom about a month later (as seen in 2016 and 2020). Currently, although gold has corrected, the trend is not broken, and $4380 may not be the peak. If gold prices continue to strengthen, Bitcoin's current fluctuations are more likely a buildup of momentum, opening space for the next upward move.
Hold quality spot assets firmly, wait for the wind to come, and patiently await the flowers to bloom.
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