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📣 [October 30 Updates | Hawkish Rate Cut Impacts Market, Key Support Defense]
🔥 Event Sorting
- The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, but Powell sent a hawkish signal, stating that "a rate cut in December is far from a done deal."
- The market's expectation probability for a rate cut in December plummeted from 95% to 65% (some data shows it dropped to 71%), triggering risk-averse sentiment.
- Bitcoin once fell below $108,000, Ethereum lost $3,900, and the total contract liquidation across the network reached $591 million.
🎯 Key Support and Resistance Levels of the White Market
BTC
Stand firm at 111,100-111,200 (looking up to 112,000-113,300)
Break below 109,220 to go short; long positions below: 107,500 and 106,000
ETH
Stand firm at 3,926 (looking up at 4,020-4,068)
Break below 3,919 to short, lower long positions: 3,870 and 3,818
⚔️ Today's Operational Strategy
1. Bullish Defense Formation
- Observe whether BTC can stabilize at 109,220 and whether ETH can hold 3,919.
- After stabilizing, try going long with a light position, stop loss at 200-250 points
2. Short Selling Ambush Formation
- If there is a rebound to 111,100-111,200 (BTC) / 3,963 (ETH) and it stagnates, a short position can be taken.
- Rebound followed by breaking through key support
3. Spot Layout
- Focus on 107,500-108,000 (BTC)/ 3,818-3,870 (ETH) placing orders in batches
- Support 109,220 pause bottom fishing
🌪️ Risk Warning
1. Strengthening of the US Dollar: The US dollar index breaks through the 99 mark, and US Treasury yields rise by more than 10 basis points, suppressing risk assets.
2. On-chain selling pressure: Long-term holders sold 104,000 BTC this month, reaching a new high since mid-July.
💎 Reminder
The market is hit by "hawkish rate cuts," with a short-term technical outlook leaning bearish.
(Long and Short Survey: Are you currently buying the dip or watching from the sidelines?)
The opinions do not constitute investment advice, please trade cautiously #美联储如期降息25基点 #今日你看涨还是看跌? #比特币行情分析