Everyone who plays rollover with an "All in mindset" is destined to face challenges before dawn. The truly profitable rollover is to use the **anti-intuitive position control method to compress risk to the extreme.

1. The death red line for the initial position (90% of people fall here) is 1000U. The initial position should not exceed 50U (5%), but 95% of people can't help but open 100U directly.
The first order must complete two actions:
Set a 0.8% price range stop loss (the specific algorithm table can be downloaded by me)
Pre-embed 3 levels of replenishment orders in the trading pair (price intervals need to be calculated in conjunction with volatility).
2. Volatility Tear Strategy
When the 4-hour volatility surpasses the historical average of 200% (a common phenomenon for SOL ecosystem coins in 2024), initiate "triple fission increase": initial position 50U (5%)
If you have any questions, feel free to ask. Follow 168 directly. Add position with 150U at 0% (total position 20%).
Increase position by 450U after breaking the previous high (total Position 65%)
The third position must be combined with the on-chain chip concentration indicator, and the identification method needs to be explained separately.
Three, the deadly stop-loss discipline
All rollover liquidations stem from "not leaving when one should," my life-saving rule:
When the total yield reaches 300%, forcibly withdraw the principal plus 50% profit.
- Remaining Position enables "Mobile Strangle Line": every increase of 10%, the stop-loss line moves up by 7% (specific parameters table has been updated) automatic take-profit must be set between 1-3 AM.
The skill is to master the intrinsic meanings of one or two technical indicators and interpret the underlying rules of the cryptocurrency market.
It organically combines with operational strategies and serves as a tool for gambling in the cryptocurrency space.
Combining the main force's large orders is the optimal choice for grasping the capital control of the operators. Whether buying or selling, it ultimately reflects on the market. As long as there are orders and transactions, we can monitor them, so everyone must make good use of these tools!
From novice to expert - a step-by-step guide to building a cryptocurrency trading system
1. The evolution of most market trends goes through the processes of budding, development, peak, decline, and trend reversal.
If "trend" is a typical right-side trade, which is a follow-up after a reversal, then "structure" is a typical left-side trade. It is a qualitative measure of speed's potential and a quantitative standard from prosperity to decline. Our tracking research on "structure" aims to capture the critical point of reversal, providing a more nuanced service for the trend.
Before the structure is formed, a state must first occur: passivation.
Passivation is a necessary path for structural formation. So what is passivation? To put it simply, it means not exhibiting the state that should be exhibited, resulting in a lack of synchronization. When the price hits a new low, but the MACD's DIF value does not reach a new low, and two negative divergence lines appear, it is determined to be passivation. Once passivation occurs, the moment the DIF turns indicates that the structure has formed. Passivation is a state, while structural formation is a moment.
3. The structure is divided into bottom structure and top structure.
The last section used the bottom structure as an example, while the opposite would be the top structure. In two waves of the same direction, there must be at least two reverse angles separating them. By observing changes in momentum, we can track and judge the turning point where speed transitions from peak to decline. It is important to note that all prices should be based on the closing price of the cycle; only after the cycle is completed can the closing price be finalized, and the corresponding indicator values will also be finalized.
4. Structural theory, applicable to different time cycles.
From daily and weekly charts to 15-minute and 1-minute charts, different timeframes correspond to different levels. The larger the timeframe, the greater the strength and duration of the impact after the structure is formed. Larger timeframes constrain smaller timeframes, while smaller timeframes obey larger timeframes. If "period resonance" occurs, meaning multiple timeframes show structure formation, then the strength and duration of the impact will be even higher, which is quite rare.
5. From the perspective of quantitative standards, the trading standard of the "trend channel" is clear at a glance, with the upper and lower track prices of the channel visible to the naked eye every day; the trading standard of the "structure" is also very clear, which is at the moment when the DIF turns after being dulled and the structure is formed.
In the past two months, I conducted a structural analysis of Bitcoin for the past year. Over the year, a bottom structure has appeared once on the daily chart, while a top structure has appeared twice, each precisely corresponding to the lowest point and the two highest points.
6, a situation with a 100% success rate like this is definitely not normal.
Not every important peak and trough is accompanied by the formation of a structure, nor does every structure formation necessarily lead to a trend reversal. It just means that when a structure is formed, there is a probabilistic advantage in trading. If the structure ultimately fails and the market moves in a low-probability direction, corrections must be made promptly. The essence of trading is to bet in areas of high probability while guarding against low-probability risks.
7. So, how to correct errors?
Sometimes the market may disappear after forming a structure (bottom or top), and after disappearing, it continues to become dull, and then forms a new structure again, in this back-and-forth manner. However, remember one thing: if you buy a position when a structure is formed, and the market moves in a low-probability reverse direction, then you need to correct the error (stop loss or buy back), and the quantitative standard for correction is: dullness disappears. This means that the DIF value is below (or above) the leading value.
8. By solely relying on the "trend channel" for operations, you can still make a lot of money because the cryptocurrency market has a short period of volatility with large one-sided fluctuations.
However, if we operate solely based on "structure", I believe the results will be much worse. Although it has a relatively high success rate, the triggering frequency on the daily chart is very low. If we use smaller time frames, the effectiveness will also be significantly reduced. More importantly, "structure" only provides a quantitative standard for buying (selling) + a quantitative standard for error correction, but it has not formed a complete trading loop.
9. For example, if you buy in at a bottom structure but there are no selling standards, because not every high point will form a top structure. It’s likely that what you are waiting for in your Position is not a top structure, but another bottom structure after a pullback. What should you do? You may fall into the trap of emotional trading.
Therefore, not only should buying have quantitative standards, but selling should also have quantitative standards. Both buying and selling must be governed by rules to be considered a mature and stable trading system.
10, so the characteristics of "structure" are very distinctive. When used alone, it cannot exert its maximum effect. Only when used in conjunction with "trend" can it leverage strengths and avoid weaknesses, achieving an effect of 1 + 1 > 2.
In my opinion, "trend" and "structure" are a match made in heaven. They lay the foundation for the trading system, and the rest is simply adding position management strategies and other indicators as support based on them.
#BTC #六月利率预测 #合约滚仓