When I thought this round was completely hopeless, the chart suddenly gave the shorts a beautiful reply. In my last glance before sleep, $WIF was still hovering back and forth above. The rebound looked like it had momentum, but the actual trading volume was low; every time it tried to spike higher, it couldn’t hold steady. The moment it hesitated, sell pressure pushed it right back down. I didn’t get lured away by that little bit of fake strength. During the intraday top-grinding phase, I took another look at WIF and opened a long near 0.1891. At the time, I only set one direction: don’t lose your head, don’t chase the long—wait until the real bid/support is truly broken. The current price has reached 0.1483. The recap return for this round is +1039.05%. The shorts’ rhythm finally paid off—feels great. First, close 80% of the position. For the remaining 20%, set cost protection. If the market is willing to keep dipping, then let the profits naturally extend; if a relief bounce happens, at least I won’t hand back the part I already booked. Profits shouldn’t balloon, and drawdowns shouldn’t be despairing. This isn’t the time to rush. Missing this leg is fine—the market isn’t short of opportunities. What it lacks is patience. Wait until the next clear signal shows up before you look again. $BTC $ETH

Second cake 1945→1875, a drop of 70 points. At midnight, second cake kongsun was harvested as scheduled. For the evening layout, there’s no need to stay up late watching the chart— wait for the exit signal according to the plan. What you’re “jiao yi pin” isn’t about consuming time, it’s about the foresight to judge in advance and a clear layout, Si Lu $ETH #长鑫开盘跌7.7%

Key resistance above: 1920-1940. Daily Bollinger midline + EMA dual suppression. A breakout and hold = bulls recover cash, target 1983-2000. Key support below: 1850-1860. 4-hour Fibonacci 38.2% support. A breakdown = bears take over, target 1820-1800. After ETH surged to 1983 then rolled over and kept dumping down to 1866, it fell more than 3% over 24 hours. On the daily level, it’s still range-bound at high levels, and upside momentum is clearly slowing. With the US-Iran ceasefire diplomacy window opened, oil prices crashed more than 8%, once pushing ETH back to 1983; but the FOMC rate decision suspense on July 28-29 has been fully dialed up—rate hike odds are 36.3%. Bulls and bears are stuck here. No side-picking—wait for direction; whoever wins, follow. Reasons to go long: ① The US-Iran ceasefire has been ongoing for the third consecutive day. Trump said both sides are holding “deep negotiations.” Brent crude has crashed from above $100 to around $86, and the geopolitical premium has quickly faded. ② Ethereum spot ETFs saw net inflows of $104.0 million last week, about three times that of Bitcoin ETFs—leading for the second straight week; inflows for July have already exceeded $300 million. ③ BitMine Immersion, the largest corporate ETH holder, added 104,512 ETH in the past 30 days; it now holds 5.78 million ETH, about 4.8% of the circulating supply. Reasons to go short: ① After topping at 1983 on the 1-hour chart, there were consecutive bearish closes and a rollover. On the 4-hour chart, MACD shows a potential dead-cross signal—short-term pullback risk is relatively high. ② Fed rate hike odds: 36.3% for July, 55.7% for September. The market’s FOMC pricing is close to a 50/50 split—this is the most divided moment since September 2024. ③ Yesterday’s Bitcoin ETF saw outflows of $2.8 million; the broader market BTC dropped below 64,000, and ETH is moving in tandem—following the drop rather than rallying. Breakout long: Buy on strong volume and a sustained hold above 1920-1940, stop loss below 1880, target 1983-2000. Breakdown short: Sell on an effective breakdown below 1850-1860, stop loss above 1880, target 1820-1800. Middle zone: Don’t move between 1860-1920—wait for direction confirmation before acting. Before the FOMC lands, all rebounds are noise; all selloffs are a performance. $ETH ‌