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I've literally been glued to the news for two days, and I have to be honest — this scenario worries me more than any crypto crash I've ever seen. The situation between the US and Iran is getting serious.
On April 8th, a two-week ceasefire was agreed upon, mediated by Pakistan. Iran has claimed victory, demanding the lifting of US sanctions and the withdrawal of troops from the region. Everything looks calm on paper, right? Here's the problem — satellite images show Iran quietly clearing debris from its underground missile bases. They are digging tunnels, removing rubble, preparing for the next strike. They are not celebrating peace. They are rearming.
Meanwhile, 20,000 ships remain stuck. The Strait of Hormuz — which transports 20% of the world's oil — is still blocked. Global supply chains are breaking apart.
For Bitcoin? We're close to $81.98K now, recovering from lows as optimism about peace grows. But what if the ceasefire collapses? We could return to $60K overnight. It’s so fast that a crypto crash like that wouldn’t surprise anyone in this context.
Here's how I see it:
Positive scenario — Pakistan strikes a real deal. Hormuz reopens. Oil drops. Bitcoin soars past $82K, $85K maybe. Markets breathe.
Negative scenario — ceasefire disintegrates. Iran attacks. Oil hits $150. Every market bleeds. Crypto crashes along with everything else. A crash of this magnitude could push BTC well below $70K.
Trump himself told a crowd this week to watch what happens in the coming weeks — hinting at something big coming. That "next week" is NOW. Today. This week.
The world is holding its breath. Your wallet should be too.
What do you think will happen? Peace agreement or escalation?