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#ETHLongShortBattle Currently, Ethereum is navigating a heavy bearish cycle, and the technical indicators suggest we are in a "relief rally" phase within a broader downtrend rather than a sustained bullish structure.
Current Market Reality (Feb 26, 2026)
The "Golden Cross" mentioned in your draft has been invalidated by recent price action. Here is the updated technical breakdown as of today:
Price Action: ETH is currently trading around $1,940 - $2,050, recovering slightly from a recent low near $1,800. This is a far cry from the $3,500 levels seen earlier in the year.
Moving Averages: Contrary to a bullish structure, ETH is trading well below its key moving averages.
50-day EMA: Approximately $2,385 - $2,680.
200-day EMA: Approximately $3,100 - $3,500.
This puts ETH in a "Death Cross" territory or a confirmed long-term downtrend, with these MAs now acting as massive overhead resistance.
RSI & Momentum: While the 4H chart shows a short-term "Strong Buy" due to the current bounce, the Daily RSI has been hugging the oversold zone (31-44) recently. This suggests that while a "dead-cat bounce" is occurring, the bears are still largely in control.Bullish vs. Bearish Pivot
Bullish Scenario: A sustained daily close above $2,100 could signal a trend reversal, potentially eyeing a gap fill toward the 50-day EMA near $2,400.
Bearish Scenario: If ETH fails to reclaim the $2,000 level, a retest of the $1,750 support is likely. Losing $1,750 could open the "trap door" toward $1,500.
Note: The market is currently "risk-off" due to global tariff updates affecting high-beta assets like ETH. Watch Bitcoin’s ability to hold $65,000 for correlation.
#MoonGirl